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Originally Posted by marothisu
I could be wrong but something tells me they aren't going to build 1 million square feet of office space entirely on spec.
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Briguy
Although 167 n green was spec and is now 100% leased. 700k sq ft, and opened March 2020 to boot.
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How many office buildings have broken ground since the pandemic completely on spec though? Only one that comes to mind is 345 Morgan, which was significantly smaller at 200K SF.
That's not to mention that the environment's gotten a lot tougher since then, now that equity providers and lenders are underwriting with the baseline assumption that a recessions right around the corner. It seems like every week they're re-adjusting risk profiles and asking to see return metrics with a good amount of padding to protect against slower than expected lease-up, stubbornly high interest rates by the time it comes to refinance, and some amount of cap rate expansion at sale.
Notching a big pre-lease clears away a lot of uncertainty for investors though, which is why I think it's probably the most vital milestone for an office developer right now more than ever.