Update: Andrea Horwath has big edge among decided voters ahead of Hamilton mayoral election
https://www.insauga.com/andrea-horwa...CFWtNgBYMl0uI0
Resume and name cachet appear to be driving the numbers for decided voters ahead of Hamilton’s 2022 mayoral race.
Former Ontario NDP leader Andrea Horwath, who stepped down as party leader and has been an elected member of provincial parliament (MPP) for Hamilton since 2014, has a sizable lead heading into Monday’s election, according to data from Mainstreet Research for iPolitics.
According to the latest numbers,
Horwath is polling at 36.5 per cent, followed by Keanin Loomis (28.7), Bob Bratina (12.1), and Jimmy Kimmel’s favourite candidate, Ejaz Butt (2.8 per cent).
However, 20 per cent of respondents told Mainstreet Research they were undecided, leaving a lot of votes unaccounted for.
Broken down by gender, Horwath is still the favourite, although the margin closes considerably in Loomis’ favour among males. Horwath’s lead shrinks to just 0.5 per cent among decided males over Loomis, but balloons to 14.2 per cent among females.
But again, undecided voters could be the difference.
Only 13.3 per cent of male voters are undecided compared to 25.2 per cent of females.
According to the Mainstreet Research poll, younger voters are heavily skewed towards Horwath at 42.2 per cent, while the highest earners prefer Loomis. The former Hamilton Chamber of Commerce president and CEO is polling at 41.1 per cent among those earning more than $100,000 per year.
Interestingly, the numbers are flipped among decided voters earning between $75,000 and $100,000.
Horwath is also polling more favourably among lower-income groups.