Idaho Census Thread

[jimthemanincda]

2020 CSA (combined statistical area) census estimates:

Boise/Mountain Home/Ontario
853,555
(Ada, Boise, Canyon, Gem, Owyhee, Elmore, Payette, Malheur OR)

Spokane/Spokane Valley/Coeur d'Alene
745,213
(Kootenai, Spokane WA, Stevens WA)

Idaho Falls/Rexburg/Blackfoot
256,099
(Bingham, Bonneville, Butte, Jefferson, Fremont, Madison)

Pullman/Moscow
90,330
(Latah, Whitman WA)

https://www.census.gov/programs-surv...cal-areas.html

[jimthemanincda]

Here are the 2020 city census estimates:

1. Boise 229,776
2. Meridian 121,182
3. Nampa 103,215
4. Idaho Falls 64,142
5. Caldwell 60,674
6. Pocatello 57,029
7. Coeur d'Alene 53,354
8. Twin Falls 51,411
9. Post Falls 38,933
10. Lewiston 33,089
11. Eagle 31,699
12. Rexburg 29,658
13. Moscow 26,128
14. Kuna 23,937
15. Ammon 17,726
16. Chubbuck 15,960
17. Hayden 15,713
18. Mountain Home 14,526
19. Jerome 12,106
20. Blackfoot 12,025
21. Garden City 11,920
22. Star 11,259
23. Burley 10,712

---Meridian grew by over 7,000 people last year
---Nampa surpassed 100,000 people
---Caldwell hit 60,000 people
---Eagle passed 30,000 population

https://www.census.gov/programs-surv...wns-total.html

[jimthemanincda]

1 year growth rate (2019 to 2020) ranked
[cities over 20,000 population]:

Kuna 7.50%
Post Falls 7.37%
Eagle 6.28%
Meridian 6.04%
Nampa 3.73%
Caldwell 3.48%
Twin Falls 2.15%
[State of Idaho=2.12%]
Coeur d'Alene 1.84%
Idaho Falls 1.74%
Moscow 1.00%
Pocatello .69%
Lewiston .30%
Boise .28%
Rexburg .01%

10 year growth rate (2010-2020) ranked
[cities over 20,000 population]:

Meridian 61.38%
Eagle 59.23%
Kuna 57.38%
Post Falls 41.19%
Caldwell 31.22%
Nampa 26.56%
Coeur d'Alene 20.88%
[State of Idaho=16.54%]
Twin Falls 16.51%
Rexburg 16.38%
Idaho Falls 12.90%
Boise 11.72%
Moscow 9.78%
Pocatello 5.11%
Lewiston 3.59%

2030 city population (if 2010-2020 growth continues at same rate):

[State of Idaho=2,129,084]
1. Boise 256,705
2. Meridian 195,563
3. Nampa 130,628
4. Caldwell 79,616
5. Idaho Falls 72,416
6. Coeur d'Alene 64,494
7. Pocatello 59,943
8. Twin Falls 59,898
9. Post Falls 54,969
10. Eagle 50,474
11. Kuna 37,672
12. Rexburg 34,515
13. Lewiston 34,425
14. Moscow 28,683

2040 city population (if 2010-2020 growth continues at same rate):

[State of Idaho=2,481,234]
1. Meridian 315,599
2. Boise 286,790
3. Nampa 165,322
4. Caldwell 104,472
5. Idaho Falls 81,757
6. Eagle 80,369
7. Coeur d'Alene 77,960
8. Post Falls 77,610
9. Twin Falls 69,787
10. Pocatello 63,006
11. Kuna 59,288
12. Rexburg 40,168
13. Lewiston 35,484
14. Moscow 31,4188

[TVurban]

Originally Posted by jimthemanincda

[B]1 year growth rate (2019 to 2020) ranked
2040 city population (if 2010-2020 growth continues at same rate):

[State of Idaho=2,481,234]
1. Meridian 315,599
2. Boise 286,790
3. Nampa 165,322
4. Caldwell 104,472
5. Idaho Falls 81,757
6. Eagle 80,369
7. Coeur d'Alene 77,960
8. Post Falls 77,610
9. Twin Falls 69,787
10. Pocatello 63,006
11. Kuna 59,288
12. Rexburg 40,168
13. Lewiston 35,484
14. Moscow 31,4188

Crazy, if you add up the Treasure Valley numbers you come out to just over 1 million people...

[jimthemanincda]

Idaho was the fastest growing state (in % terms) between 7/1/2020-7/1/2021. The state's population grew by 2.9%

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/pres...estimates.html

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/t...age_1574439295

Only a few years ago, Idaho passed West Virginia to become the 38th most-populous state. If current annual growth rates continue, Idaho will pass Nebraska in 2 years (2023) to become the 37th most-populous state. 2 years after that, in 2025, Idaho will pass New Mexico to become the 36th most-populous state. From there, it will take another ~12 years to catch Kansas, which is just shy of 3 million residents.

[jimthemanincda]

Coeur d'Alene was the 2nd fastest growing metro area in the country between 7/1/20-7/1/21, growing 4.1%. Boise came in 6th in the country, with growth of 3.3%.

Top 10 Metro Areas in Percent Growth: July 1, 2020 to July 1, 2021
Rank Metro Area April 1, 2020
(Estimates Base) July 1, 2020 July 1, 2021 Percent Growth
1 St. George, UT 180,279 181,924 191,226 5.1%
2 Coeur d'Alene, ID 171,362 172,646 179,789 4.1%
3 Myrtle Beach-Conway, SC-NC 487,722 491,582 509,794 3.7%
4 Punta Gorda, FL 186,847 187,960 194,843 3.7%
5 The Villages, FL 129,752 130,897 135,638 3.6%
6 Boise City, ID 764,718 769,581 795,268 3.3%
7 Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL 725,046 729,233 753,520 3.3%
8 Provo-Orem, UT 671,185 674,967 697,141 3.3%
9 Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL 760,822 764,679 787,976 3.0%
10 Logan, UT-ID 147,348 147,796 152,083 2.9%

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/pres...-decrease.html

[jimthemanincda]

Here are the 2021 county census estimates:

1. Ada 511,931
2. Canyon 243,115
3. Kootenai 179,789
4. Bonneville 127,930
5. Twin Falls 92,243
6. Bannock 88,263
7. Madison 53,881
8. Bonner 49,491
9. Bingham 48,876
10. Nez Perce 42,454
11. Latah 40,313


Ada County surpassed 500,000 people last year. Canyon should hit 250,000 in next year. Kootenai will go over 185,000 residents next year and Bonneville will exceed 130,000 residents next year.
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/t...ies-total.html


Here are the 2021 metro census estimates:

1. Boise metro (Ada, Boise, Canyon, Gen, Owyhee) 795,268
2. Coeur d'Alene metro (Kootenai) 179,789
3. Idaho Falls metro (Bonneville, Butte, Jefferson) 162,786
4. Twin Falls metro (Twin Falls, Jerome) 116,905
5. Pocatello metro (Bannock, Power) 96,213
6. Rexburg micro (Fremont, Madison) 67,473
7. Lewiston metro (Nez Perce, Asotin WA) 64,851 [42,454 in ID]
8. Sandpoint micro (Bonner) 49,491
9. Blackfoot micro (Bingham) 48,876
10. Burley micro (Cassia, Minidoka) 47,119
11. Moscow micro (Latah) 40,313
12. Mountain Home (Elmore) 28,827
13. Hailey micro (Blaine, Camas) 25,905

Boise should hit 820,000 in next years. Coeur d'Alene will pass 185,000 next year.
https://www.census.gov/newsroom/pres...nty-metro.html

[jimthemanincda]

2021 CSA (combined statistical area) census estimates:

Boise/Mountain Home/Ontario
882,138
(Ada, Boise, Canyon, Gem, Owyhee, Elmore, Payette, Malheur OR)

Spokane/Spokane Valley/Coeur d'Alene
773,255
(Kootenai, Spokane WA, Stevens WA)

Idaho Falls/Rexburg/Blackfoot
279,135
(Bingham, Bonneville, Butte, Jefferson, Fremont, Madison)

Pullman/Moscow
88,186
(Latah, Whitman WA)

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/pres...nty-metro.html

[Boisebro]

it's probably likely at this point that the Boise CSA will top one million by the 2030 census.

[Evo5Boise]

Originally Posted by Boisebro

it's probably likely at this point that the Boise CSA will top one million by the 2030 census.

Which, from somebody born and raised in Boise, is absolutely insane to think about.

It blows my mind to think about the change/growth here. Just a quick example: When I went to Lowell Scott Middle school in the early 90s, there was nothing out there. Nothing but fields. Now it's in the middle of urban growth and on one of the busiest roads in the valley.

I always tell my daughter that, though we are both from Boise, we grew up in two entirely different cities.

[Boisebro]

when I moved to Boise, the population of the entire valley was ~350,000. funny how it's now almost 3x that.

a real estate agent gave me a tour of the area. i wanted to live in the central or east part of town, but for some reason she drove me out to eagle road, which at the time was a pothole-pocketed two-lane farm road with nothing around it. she had to point out Boise on the eastern horizon and Meridian to the west. I didn't want to live in the middle of nowhere.

so yeah, things changed.

[SFTransplant]

Originally Posted by Boisebro

it's probably likely at this point that the Boise CSA will top one million by the 2030 census.

I think the Boise MSA will reach 1 million by the 2030 census. CSA 1 million by 2025

[jimthemanincda]

Here are the 2021 city census estimates for Idaho:

1. Boise 237,446
2. Meridian 125,963
3. Nampa 106,186
4. Idaho Falls 66,898
5. Caldwell 63,629
6. Pocatello 57,092
7. Coeur d'Alene 55,904
8. Twin Falls 53,213
9. Post Falls 42,610
10. Rexburg 35,300
11. Lewiston 34,447
12. Eagle 32,100
13. Kuna 26,673
14. Moscow 25,850
15. Ammon 18,673
16. Mountain Home 16,235
17. Hayden 16,194
18. Chubbuck 15,843
19. Star 12,912
20. Jerome 12,555
21. Blackfoot 12,332
22. Garden City 12,288
23. Burley 11,863
24. Rathdrum 10,223
25. Middleton 10,169

---Meridian passed the 125,000 population mark
---Rexburg surpassed both Lewiston & Eagle last year to land in the Top 10 most populous cities in the state
---Kuna is now more populous than Moscow
---Hayden moved past Chubbuck in population but Mountain Home surpassed both Hayden & Chubbuck to move up two spots
---Star went from 22nd most populous to 19th most populous, surpassing Jerome, Blackfoot, & Garden City
---Both Rathdrum and Middleton now have 10,000 residents

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/t...and-towns.html

[jimthemanincda]

Of the 15 fastest growing large cities (population of 50,000 or more) in the United States, 3 of them were Idaho cities...Meridian, Caldwell, and Nampa. All 3 grew by 5% or more between July 2020 and July 2021.

Growth rates in Top 10 Most Populous Idaho cities:
Post Falls 8.67%
Meridian 5.21% (13th fastest in the country for large cities)
Caldwell 5.20% (14th fastest in the country for large cities)
Nampa 5.01% (15th fastest in the country for large cities)
Twin Falls 2.70%
Coeur d'Alene 2.07%
Idaho Falls 1.89%
Pocatello 1.44%
Rexburg 1.16%
Boise .69%

https://www.census.gov/newsroom/pres...estimates.html

[jimthemanincda]

It isn't very accurate to extrapolate 1 year growth rates but it is fun so I am going to do it anyway...here are population estimates in 5 years (2026) using population growth between 2020-2021:

2026 city population projections
1. Boise 245,570
2. Meridian 162,375
3. Nampa 135,585
4. Caldwell 81,982
5. Idaho Falls 73,461
6. Post Falls 64,571
7. Coeur d'Alene 61,933
8. Pocatello 61,320
9. Twin Falls 60,793
10. Kuna 40,345
11. Eagle 38,734
12. Rexburg 37,393
13. Lewiston 35,792
14. Moscow 27,860
15. Ammon 23,257
16. Hayden 19,333
17. Mountain Home 16,850
18. Chubbuck 16,492

Observations:
---Caldwell has been on pace to pass Idaho Falls as the 4th largest city in the state. This would mean the top 4 largest cities would all be in the Treasure Valley. Using last year's growth rate, this will happen in just two years (2023). In reality, I don't see this happening for three or four years.
---Post Falls has been on pace to pass Coeur d'Alene in population for a while now. Using last year's growth rate, this will happen in five years (2026). In reality, I am guessing it will not happen until 2029 or 2030.

[Cottonwood]

https://smartasset.com/data-studies/...n-america-2022

Top Boomtowns in America – 2022 Edition
Anja Solum NOV 30, 2022

1. Nampa, ID

Nampa, Idaho has continued to see positive growth and moves into the No. 1 spot in this year's edition. From 2016 to 2021, Nampa’s population, incomes and available housing has increased by 16.21%, 43.99% and 22.24%, respectively. Additionally, the county in which Nampa is located has the second-highest growth in the number of businesses (almost 30% from 2015 to 2020).

2. Meridian, ID

Last year, Meridian, Idaho ranked No. 3. This year, the city ranks in the top five cities for population growth (31.72%) and its increase in the number of available housing units (39.23%). Additionally, the county where Meridian is located ranks 18th-best for its five-year growth in the number of businesses (20.02%, since 2016) and 34th-best for average annual GDP growth (3.70%).

https://mcusercontent.com/16c4868c51...32c/V40_18.pdf
Index of State Economic Momentum

IN THIS ISSUE
Index of State Economic Momentum
The Index of State Economic Momentum ranks states based on their most recent
performance in three key measures of economic vitality: personal income growth,
employment growth, and population growth. Reports updates the index each quarter.
In the third 2022 update, Idaho claimed the top ranking

[Cottonwood]

https://www.idahopress.com/news/loca...de96c5971.html

Idaho was second-fastest growing state in the U.S. in 2022

In-migration accounted for 88% of Idaho’s growth, while natural changes from births outnumbering deaths accounted for about 11% of Idaho’s growth, census officials said.

[jimthemanincda]

Here are the 2022 county census estimates...population estimates for 7/1/2022 (note that, unlike prior years, metro/micro/CSA data won't be released at the same time...now it will come out in May, when the city data is released):

1. Ada 518,907
2. Canyon 251,065
3. Kootenai 183,578
4. Bonneville 129,496
5. Twin Falls 92,243
6. Bannock 89,517
7. Madison 54,976
8. Bonner 51,414
9. Bingham 49,923
10. Nez Perce 43,004
11. Latah 40,978

Canyon County surpassed 250,000 people last year. Bonner County went over 50,000 people last year. Bingham should go over 50,000 this year.
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/t...ies-total.html

[Cottonwood]

Thanks for the informative posts jimthemanincda.




Idaho’s getting younger. Here’s how many from each generation are moving to the Gem State
Shaun Goodwin, The Idaho Statesman Apr 18, 2023

https://thebrunswicknews.com/news/na...b57691b42.html

Idaho had a total net migration of 31,572 newcomers into the state in 2021, with the largest group being millennials. Here are how many people from each generation moved into the state:
— Generation Z: 3,068
— Millennials: 11,247
— Gen X: 5,996

[jimthemanincda]

Here are the 2022 metro census estimates:

1. Boise metro (Ada, Boise, Canyon, Gen, Owyhee) 811,336
2. Coeur d'Alene metro (Kootenai) 183,578
3. Idaho Falls metro (Bonneville, Butte, Jefferson) 165,608
4. Twin Falls metro (Twin Falls, Jerome) 119,007
5. Pocatello metro (Bannock, Power) 97,585
6. Rexburg micro (Fremont, Madison) 68,954
7. Lewiston metro (Nez Perce, Asotin WA) 65,512 [43,004 in ID]
8. Sandpoint micro (Bonner) 51,414
9. Blackfoot micro (Bingham) 49,923
10. Burley micro (Cassia, Minidoka) 47,849
11. Moscow micro (Latah) 40,978
12. Mountain Home (Elmore) 29,403
13. Hailey micro (Blaine, Camas) 26,019

Boise surpassed 800,000. Sandpoint hit 50,000.
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/t...cal-areas.html