Quote:
Originally Posted by markbarbera
Predicting the next Mayor is difficult to say. Conventional wisdom at the start of the race would say Di Ianni and Bratina will split the vote of discontent, giving Eisenberger the opportunity to slip up the middle. But Fred's support level is way down from the last go. The Spec poll shows the swing vote is away from him leaving him with mainly his core supporters and little room for growth (mind you he has the largest group of core supporters of the three leaders).
It's pretty clear there is palpable dissatisfaction with city hall has performed the past four years, and how that dissatisfied vote spreads itself will be the deciding factor. The question is how much of the swing vote has kept with Bratina since the Spec poll and how much has shifted elsewhere. Bratina held his own in the past week campaign-wise, and neither of the other two have had a breakawy advantage materialize, so not much has happened to make those Nanos poll numbers shift.
It's going to come down to who has the machine to get the vote out. If Bob had not run, this would have been the Di Ianni comeback story. Instead it's going to be an interesting night, and the vote is too close to call. But I am going to go out on a limb and predict Bratina will top the heap. But I am prepared for the possibilty of having to eat crow in 14 hours' time.
|
So who's going to buy me a beer for calling this one? Congratulations to Bob Bratina on a very convincing win.
Bob has a genuine love for the city and a sincere desire to improve our fortunes. His personality may come across as abrasive at times, and despite the overplayed pen-tossing references made here, he really is a genial, respectful guy who is not afraid to thoroughly examine the issues so to make an informed decision. IMO our city is in good hands.
I'll put my serving of crow in the freezer for now. Being a highly opinionated frequent poster I'm bound to need it in the future (Lord knows I have had my share of it in the past).
Prev
Linear Mode
