I would think Kimpton's name is essentially a guarantee that 100 Mill will produce revenue, so I hope it's a done deal, too. And, the office is only 7-8 stories; I wish the two varied in height because I think 7-8 Class A office space downtown will eventually be seen as a waste, but for the moment, I can't imagine having problems finding tenants and financing for such a small office component in the hottest market in the Phx area (ish).
I love that project, though, and it will be awesome for their to be continuous build-out from University to the lake. I also love how they treated 2nd Street and Maple within the project- so many downtown blocks are chopped off... it's nice to see those small parts reintroduced as usable space. I hope the Hayden House restoration follows soon after so as to not leave a huge dead zone at the intersection. I hope they are able to attract better retail tenants than the Gateway building, which - like much of Tempe - has filled with fast casual chains. Something like a Bunky Boutique would be great under the Kimpton. Why oh why did US Airways build such a terrible 1st tower? You'll go from this awesome project to the city's largest urban setback... sigh.
I agree that the Mill project is dead; as I've said, I don't think it will ever get developed on the scale these proposals have always been recommending. A more permanent civic space with a park, ampitheater, museum, service retail in a private-public agreement seems more realistic.
I don't know why you are so worried about 7S- it was announced well after 100 Mill, and I wasn't expecting much action this year on the lot. It's a quality project by a quality developer, and the worst case is that the 2nd phase is stalled indefinitely, leaving 7th Street totally abandoned. But, there is absolutely still demand for market rate, non-student housing downtown, so the first tower should be no problem. I'd hope to hear a brand for the hotel soon, though, given the # of lifestyle concepts under construction. Unless it is a complete boutique property, the only hotels I can think of that would be a good fit are Hilton Canopy, Element, and Hotel Indigo. I think a W would be pretty great, but don't think Tempe is quite there yet.
It's too bad the greatest projects have all snuck in so late; the build-out of 1st Street, 7S, 100 Mill, and The Pier would set the standard for all lakefront development. And, then there is the whole slew of lower profile projects that continue to transform and densify Apache and Maple-Ash: 5th Street West, 5th and Hardy, 4th Street West, the Block on Roosevelt, FORE, The Motley, 1000 Apache... and, I am really crossing my fingers that the plans for the Maxwell on College be fantastic and be built. Can we trade Alta, Hanover, Jefferson, and SALT for these?