Quote:
Originally Posted by Andy6
On September 12, 2001 we would have been astonished to learn that, twenty years later, we would be saying that the world hadn't seemed to be falling apart at any point between the 1990s and 2020!
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I'm still not that old yet but I'm old enough to remember multiple distinct periods of apocalyptic predictions, including the tail end of some predictions that were contradicted by the later ones.
We went from the (over)-population bomb to the aging (under)-population bomb. The climate is either going to cool or warm, but both are bad (so many Climate Stagnation Deniers!). Capitalism has always been "late stage" (I think that one might go back to Marx and Engels?).
The climate End Times people have had to update their dates like the Jehovah's Witnesses. It's like that saying about how economists have predicted 12 of the last 3 recessions. St. Alexandria of Ocasio-Cortez said 12 years a few years back and I was just listening to the Extinction Rebellion guy in the UK talk in similar terms about a new date, plus he was complaining about decades of inaction. Why isn't he selling his farm and living out his final days on a tropical island somewhere?
I think our society, for whatever reason, has a bias toward viewing negative predictions as "wiser" on average than positive predictions. This partly explains the strange race to the bottom with ultra-negative and ultra-conservative covid experts. And how some non-experts can take on an expert-like halo effect by promoting doom and gloom predictions.