Quote:
Originally Posted by acottawa
There are about 8 million cars in Ontario if each one draws say 5kwh a night that is 40 MWh. Current electricity demand for the province is 17 MW. To meet that kind of demand that province would have to build massive capacity that would probably be fossil fuels.
All of your answers to all of the EV problems seems to be "all the technology in the future will be better". That may well be the case, but it makes no sense to try to upscale the technology until it is ready. the government did that with light bulbs, trying to encourage he adoption of crappy CFL bulbs before good LED bulbs were ready for scale. The result is lots of mercury went to landfill for no good reason.
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The technology won't be ready until there is a market for it because nobody is going to put billions into researching something they can't sell; conversely, there won't be a market for it until the technology is ready. It's a catch-22, and the solution is to keep growing the market share for EVs to keep the innovators of the world certain they have a future. (For the same reason, the common argument that "we shouldn't have carbon taxes until alternative energy is more advanced" is completely bunk as well). To keep with the lightbulb analogy, if it weren't for government policies designed to push out incandescent light bulbs, cheap LEDs would have never been invented.
Early signs from widespread demand for next-gen EVs like the Bolt and the Tesla 3 are that EVs will have a massive (5x-10x) increase in sales by the end of the decade. That's enough to incentivize research that can break through remaining problems, allowing mass market share by the early 2030s.