Quote:
Originally Posted by Nexis4Jersey
My 2030 Projections based on future development around lines and extensions...
1. Boston - 233,300 > 290,000 (2030)
2. San Francisco - 162,400 > 215,000 (2030)
3. Los Angeles - 154,500 > 630,000 (2030)
4. Portland - 126,500 > 175,000 (2030)
5. Philadelphia - 110,100 > 190,000 (2030)
6. San Diego - 103,400 (150,000 (2030)
7. Dallas - 83,400 > 110,000 (2030)
8. Denver - 66,800 > 132,000 (2030)
9. Newark - 65,000 * > 205,000 (2030)
10. Salt Lake City - 59,100 > 102,000 (2030)
11. St. Louis - 52,300 > 147,000 (2030)
12. Phoenix - 41,300 > 115,000 (2030)
13. Houston - 36,100 > 147,000 (2030)
14. San Jose - 32,900 > 72,000 (2030)
15. Minneapolis - 30,300 > 139,000 (2030)
16. Seattle - 27,800 > 163,000 (2030)
17. Baltimore - 27,200 > 87,000 (2030)
18. Buffalo - 24,500 > 45,000 (2030)
19. Pittsburgh - 24,200 > 125,000 (2030)
20. New Orleans - 19,700 > 25,000 (2030)
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This is the actual data for Denver's RTD 2030 LRT projections. These projections don't fully take into consideration TOD development around stations, or the national trend of people using transit more, at a growing rate. Notice, even the low estimate is above your estimate, in which you were attempting to fully take into consideration TOD development.
West Corridor
Vehicle Type: Light Rail
Length (miles): 12.1
Stations: 12
Parking: 646 (existing), 5,054 (new)
Capital Cost: $707M
2030 Weekday Ridership: 31,200 - 36,500
Proposed Frequency of Service (Rail):
5 min (peak)/15 min (off-peak) Denver to Federal Center
15 min (peak and off-peak) Federal Center to Jefferson County
Southwest Corridor
Vehicle Type: Light Rail
Length (miles): 8.7 (existing)/2.5 (new)
Stations: 5 (existing)/2 (new)
Parking: 2,597 (existing), 1,440 (new)
Capital Cost (extension): $216.9M
2030 Weekday Ridership: 21,600 - 24,000
Proposed Frequency of Service (Rail): 6 min (peak)/7.5 min (off-peak)
Southeast Corridor
Vehicle Type: Light Rail
Length (miles): 19.1 (existing)/2.3 (new)
Stations: 13 (existing)/3 (new)
Parking: 6,962 (existing), 2,520 (new)
Capital Cost (extension): $208.1M
2030 Weekday Ridership: 51,100 - 59,800
Proposed Frequency of Service (Rail): 4 min (peak)/6 min (off-peak)
I-225 Corridor
Vehicle Type: Light Rail
Length (miles): 10.5
Stations: 7
Parking: 1,225 (existing), 1,800 (new)
Capital Cost: $730M
2030 Weekday Ridership: 34,200
Proposed Frequency of Service (Rail): 7.5 min (peak)/10 min (off-peak)
Central Corridor
Vehicle Type: Light Rail
Length (miles): 7.1 (existing)/0.8 (new)
Stations: 18 (existing)/2 (new)
Parking: 1,685 (existing)
Capital Cost (extension): $115M*
2030 Weekday Ridership: 5,800
Proposed Frequency of Service (Rail): 15 min
Denver RTD Total 2030 Projected LRT System:
Vehicle Type: Light Rail
Length (miles): 63.1
Stations: 62
Parking: 14.447
Capital Cost (extensions): $1.977B
2030 Weekday Ridership*: 143,900 - 160,300
*Doesn't fully take into consideration TOD developments or transit useage among the population, trending upwards.