Quote:
Originally Posted by Hali87
I think you might have hit the nail on the head there: a lot of people don't think of "$200/barrel oil" being a possibility, but given enough time, >$200/barrel is a near certainty. A lot of people still seem to assume that the price of gas will eventually just "go back to normal".
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As I mentioned in a previous post, I think that the expectation that people will stop driving their cars if the price of gas doubles is not something that planners should count on. The automakers are researching many new technologies now, from all-electric "plug in" cars (see Tesla and Nissan Leaf, for example), to plug-in/gas hybrids (see Chevrolet Volt), hydrogen fuel cell vehicles are still not out of the picture, and then there are other fuels like natural gas, ethanol, etc etc. Guaranteed, you will see more of these types of vehicles on the roads in the future.
This is not to mention technologies that they are working on but not disclosing to the public yet. The writing is on the wall regarding dependence on oil and overall environmental concerns - that is the future of industry in general and specifically of the auto industry.
Also, Corporate Average Fuel Economy in the US will increase drastically for 2016 (more info:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corpora...e_Fuel_Economy), which means that all vehicles sold in the US (and Canada by default) will have to be much more fuel efficient - the offshoot of which means that the average motorists' habits will be less affected by the cost of oil. If the price of fuel doubled in the near future, I think people will typically drive the same amount, but will make more fuel-efficient choices when purchasing a vehicle (i.e. less "monster trucks" on the road and more smaller sedans and hatchbacks). In Europe, this is already the case, as the typical vehicle of choice is smaller and more fuel efficient (and often diesel) as their fuel costs are already much higher than ours.
The purpose of all this gobbledegook is to caution planners that the automobile is not on the way out, it's only changing. That being said, I still stand by my statement that if an efficient, convenient and attractive transit system is used, people will
choose to use it over their automobile because it makes more sense and is convenient for them, plus more economical as well.
Now back to topic, as the above post is much more general than the Cogswell topic. I don't think removing the Cogswell interchange will have any great negative effect on traffic flow downtown, as long as the new design doesn't create a bottleneck that doesn't exist already. There are already other bottlenecks in place which have been the limiting factor in the past.