Quote:
Originally Posted by TexasPlaya
2020 saw the massive gains the Democrats have been making in Texas suburbs halted and reversed.
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This is absolute wrong.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...ction-map.html
Here is a precinct-by-precinct map of election results nationwide. The largest movements to the left in all four of the largest metropolitan areas were in suburban areas.
Austin: Round Rock, Kyle, Buda, San Marcos, Dripping Springs, Georgetown, and Cedar Park as well as the suburban neighborhoods within the city limits all went significant leftward. Most of the already Democratic areas stayed Democratic but didn't have much room for growth in margin, but had growth in turnout.
Key County: Williamson, which moved from 50.2-41.3 Trump to 49.6-48.2 Biden.
San Antonio: The southside and westside went to the right, but these are inner city Tejano neighborhoods. Afluent enclaves like Olmos Park and Terrell Hills had large shifts to the left as did pretty much the rest of the entire metropolitan area except for the Tejano parts of Seguin.
Key County: Bexar. Everyone knows Bexar is almost entirely suburban itself, and it shifted to 58% Biden from 54% Clinton even with the Tejano inner city neighborhood shifts to the right.
Houston: The Hispanic and African American sections of the city and inner suburbs saw shifts to the right, but the outer suburbs, enclaves, and whiter areas of the city all saw shifts to the left. Conroe, Katy, Spring, Cypress, Tomball, The Woodlands all saw Democratic gains in margin vis-a-vis 2016. The only real suburbs where Republicans had margin gains in more than a few select precincts are Galveston, Liberty, La Marque, and Sugarland. All of these have seen massive gains in Mexican-American and Central American immigrants which saw shifts to the right nationwide.
Key County: Fort Bend, discussed above by others.
Dallas: The black neighborhoods in the city mostly stayed the same 2016 to 2020, whereas the neighborhoods that are shifting from black to Mexican-American saw movement to the right. However, that isn't always true: Irving is heavily Mexican-American and shifted to the left. But look north of the city at Denton, Frisco, McKinney, Garland, Mesquite, Lewisville. All of these are mostly white, mostly wealthy communities, but each has significant minority populations either city-wide or in pockets, yet ALL of the movement precinct-by-precinct was massive shifts to the left.
Key Counties: Denton and Collin, which moved from 57% and 56% Trump, respectively, to 53% and 51%. Big shifts.
Fort Worth: Arlington and Fort Worth inner city areas both moved to the right, but the rest of the suburban areas in Tarrant County and the southwest suburban areas shifted to the left.
Key County: Tarrant. Biden won Tarrant. What? Clinton got 43%.
Bonus RGV: Everything moved to the right. The Tejano towns, the Mexican-American towns, the mixed towns, the white enclaves, the couple of Filipino precincts. All of it. The couple of blue spots are all colleges and universities, which is no surprise, but even many of those shifted to the right.
Correct analysis:
The suburbs and select cities continued their climb to the left and with boosted turnout, while at the same time select cities and inner city neighborhoods began to slide to the right. The rural areas were largely the same as before.
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