Quote:
Originally Posted by Centropolis
the st. louis census is dubious at 1870, chicago very likely overtook it at that point.
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yeah, that 1870 kink in st. louis' growth curve has always been suspect.
sensing that their city was quickly losing ground to rival chicago, st. louis city officials intentionally withheld their population number in 1870 until after chicago had released its figure, and then inflated st. louis' population number to barely surpass chicago in a vain attempt to try and stay ahead of the windy city.
unfortunately, we'll never know the real 1870 st. louis figure, so st. louis' cheating becomes a historical data point, even if it's wrong.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Centropolis
drawing a line between 1860 and 1880 is likely more accurate.
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drawing a straight line between 1860 & 1880 puts st. louis' 1870 population at ~258,000, ~17% lower than the 310,864 figure that they reported.
and that same straight line growth has chicago surpassing st. louis right at the close of the civil war in 1865, 6 years earlier than the graph above with st. louis' bogus 1870 figure shows.
that would also line up with chicago first surpassing cincinnati in 1863. because chicago was so much further away from southern confederate raiders compared to cities like cincinnati and st. louis, it was seen as a much safer place for NE investment money during the war.
the civil war was the turning point for the balance of urban might in the midwest.