Reading Tea Leaves and Speculating
Quote:
Originally Posted by SirLucasTheGreat
Between Amacon, Greyhound, and 650 17th, there seem to be pretty high expectations for housing demand in the central business district. I'm not sure how many of these will actually get built...
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With respect to 650 17th Street
When Harbinger Development secured this site it seemed a bit of a head scratcher to me. While they've done nice projects in the past their more recent past seemed to be Hotel development. Perhaps they thought they found a diamond in the rough where it would be easy to raise capital back in Boston/NYC corridor. Who knows?
We all know how badly the hotel sector has been damaged? It may now be that Harbinger Development just wants (needs) to get their money back. In order to do this they need to find someone who falls in love with the opportunity as much as they did - therefore the splashy promotion. Not sure how easy this will be? It could be many years before any groundbreaking.
With respect to the Greyhound site
Currently the value of the Yen versus the Dollar is more favorable than it has been. That means Mitsubishi Estate Co may look favorably on projects in the U.S. (converting Yen into $'s). It may also be that prominent Japanese companies like Toyota, Honda etc might prefer to use a portion of their U.S. profits to reinvest in U.S. real estate and Mitsubishi Estate Co could 'comfortably' handle that for them.
This most recent transaction may just be the one that gets fast-tracked.
What you may be overlooking
Quote:
Originally Posted by SirLucasTheGreat
there seem to be pretty high expectations for housing demand in the central business district. ...I do wonder how many people really want to live in the CBD vs LoDo, Lower Highlands, Cap Hill, Golden Triangle, or RiNo.
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It wouldn't be unusual among companies especially tech companies to want to secure a block of (furnished) apartments nearby for any of various reasons. Maybe they have a constant flow of employees coming to Denver for training; perhaps they have a constant flow of employees between their Denver office and other offices, etc. etc. Perhaps Gen Z lands good job in Denver that 'could be' very temporary. You might be surprised how many 'corporate' apartments there are.
The question isn't how many people don't want to live in the CBD but rather how many people would choose to live downtown. We might all be surprised.