HomeDiagramsDatabaseMapsForum About
     

Go Back   SkyscraperPage Forum > Regional Sections > Canada > Manitoba & Saskatchewan


Reply

 
Thread Tools Display Modes
     
     
  #1881  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 4:31 AM
buzzg buzzg is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 7,800
Quote:
Originally Posted by Simplicity View Post
Oh, nine owners you say!? I'm guessing there will be several fewer after the first cash call.

And I can't be the only person wondering where the money comes from. Especially this new Barley Brothers expansion. There were legitimate, well-financed chains that looked at that space and couldn't find a way to make it feasible given its size, the leaseholds required, and the monthly nut. How does a middling, local restaurant with terrible reviews open a second location that's 20,000 square feet!?
Because FB Hospitality is actually terribly managed. The owners focus on opening new stores and immediately forget about them once they've started their next project. I know several people who work at many of their places, and say it's brutal. Hermano's rarely has a floor manager, and their lucky that the ambience hides how slow the service there is — the food is great though.

Prairie 360 is having a serious problem with staff retention because they are not busy for regular food service, only when there's corporate events or parties. I know lots of ppl who have gone through there and left very quickly due to poor planning and management. I really don't see it lasting too long, hopefully I'm wrong though.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1882  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 4:10 PM
Simplicity Simplicity is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 1,774
Quote:
Originally Posted by buzzg View Post
Because FB Hospitality is actually terribly managed. The owners focus on opening new stores and immediately forget about them once they've started their next project. I know several people who work at many of their places, and say it's brutal. Hermano's rarely has a floor manager, and their lucky that the ambience hides how slow the service there is — the food is great though.

Prairie 360 is having a serious problem with staff retention because they are not busy for regular food service, only when there's corporate events or parties. I know lots of ppl who have gone through there and left very quickly due to poor planning and management. I really don't see it lasting too long, hopefully I'm wrong though.
Oh yeah, I mean, I've heard all the same things, but it still doesn't serve to explain where the millions of dollars in operating capital and millions upon millions of dollars in leaseholds come from. Somebody is underwriting this.

Generally, a bank is only prepared to finance 50% of a restaurants leaseholds provided the ownership can personally guarantee it. In other words, they need at least the 50% in cash and the other 50% in value somewhere the bank can chattel in some capacity in the event they can't pay. And then somebody has to finance the lean months - generally 12-24 months in the restaurant business - with more cash. That's why restaurants are consistently going out of business - people don't understand the financial requirements upfront.

But these guys have yet to shutter a restaurant even though they're all mostly empty. And they keep opening others! Something is very strange around there. Especially given the uptake of the old Earl's site.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1883  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 4:14 PM
esquire's Avatar
esquire esquire is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 37,483
^ I'm no restaurant whiz but I do eat, and Hermano's has a steady clientele (the excellent reviews have no doubt helped). Barley Brothers has also developed a loyal following among beer enthusiasts... the original location is busy. Prairie 360 must be a bit of a disappointment... I was shocked to see it half empty at prime dining hours on a Saturday last month. But it's not as though there are tumbleweeds in their restaurants as a rule.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1884  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 5:10 PM
Simplicity Simplicity is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 1,774
Quote:
Originally Posted by esquire View Post
^ I'm no restaurant whiz but I do eat, and Hermano's has a steady clientele (the excellent reviews have no doubt helped). Barley Brothers has also developed a loyal following among beer enthusiasts... the original location is busy. Prairie 360 must be a bit of a disappointment... I was shocked to see it half empty at prime dining hours on a Saturday last month. But it's not as though there are tumbleweeds in their restaurants as a rule.
I'm merely questioning where all the money is coming from. A few beer enthusiasts in the city can't sustain that sort of operation. Not to mention that there are much better restaurants all over this city that have fantastic reviews and great food and don't have the capital to be expanding exponentially.

Hermanos and Billabong - a restaurant they had to buy - might be the two exceptions given they're generally pretty busy. But I've been to the rest and it's always the same story: They're out of food, there's never any staff, and the place is always next to empty.

My best guess is that there are a lot of investors and FB is simply taking a management fee for running these places and signing the lease. The restaurant business has been around for a long time. I'm skeptical of the idea that they've reinvented the wheel. While the rest of the industry takes an average of two to three years to even become profitable - if they can even get to that point - these guys are spinning operating profits that allow them to fund multi-million dollar expansions in less time than that? I'm dubious...
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1885  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 5:56 PM
bomberjet bomberjet is online now
Registered User
 
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Winnipeg
Posts: 14,055
Restaurants need to advertise. I really see nothing from Prairie 360. It get's forgotten about. You don't see it driving down the street. So they need to get their name out there.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1886  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 6:06 PM
Simplicity Simplicity is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 1,774
Quote:
Originally Posted by bomberjet View Post
Restaurants need to advertise. I really see nothing from Prairie 360. It get's forgotten about. You don't see it driving down the street. So they need to get their name out there.
They've spent many hundreds of thousands with the Winnipeg Jets. Their name was on the ice-clearing shovels!

The whole thing is just strange; The flippancy, the laissez-faire attitude. Existing restaurants struggling as others continue to open? Who runs a business like this unless there is almost literally endless cash flow? This is the restaurant business - these guys didn't hang an oil derrick.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1887  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 6:32 PM
drew's Avatar
drew drew is offline
the first stamp is free
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Hippyville, Winnipeg
Posts: 8,118
Quote:
Originally Posted by esquire View Post
^ I'm no restaurant whiz but I do eat, and Hermano's has a steady clientele (the excellent reviews have no doubt helped). Barley Brothers has also developed a loyal following among beer enthusiasts... the original location is busy. Prairie 360 must be a bit of a disappointment... I was shocked to see it half empty at prime dining hours on a Saturday last month. But it's not as though there are tumbleweeds in their restaurants as a rule.
I tend to think there must have been a bit of an incentive offered for whoever was going to tackle the revolving restaurant. It is such a huge, high profile location, that remained empty for many years.

They certainly are catering to more of the "function" crowd versus the casual visitor. The food is good, and reasonable. Service is "meh".
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1888  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 6:32 PM
Authentic_City's Avatar
Authentic_City Authentic_City is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,638
Quote:
Originally Posted by Simplicity View Post
They've spent many hundreds of thousands with the Winnipeg Jets. Their name was on the ice-clearing shovels!

The whole thing is just strange; The flippancy, the laissez-faire attitude. Existing restaurants struggling as others continue to open? Who runs a business like this unless there is almost literally endless cash flow? This is the restaurant business - these guys didn't hang an oil derrick.
Are you suggesting something nefarious is going on? Do you think the "endless cash flow" is laundered money, for example?

I also don't know much about the restaurant business, but it sure looks like most of his ventures are successful (the exception being 360). He's also been quite a booster/builder of downtown. I hope the GW is successful because that stretch of Portage could sure use some life.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1889  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 6:50 PM
ediger ediger is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 107
Quote:
Originally Posted by Authentic_City View Post
Article in today's WFP about the Goodwill (or the GW for short, apparently). And Noel Bernier's restaurant empire keeps on expanding.

http://www.winnipegfreepress.com/bus...279743432.html

There's also a bit of info about the new Barley Bros location (former Pembina Earls location).
Their naivety towards the local music scene could be their downfall. If they truly believe they'll be the only place offering music 7 days a week, wow. I've been involved in the Winnipeg music scene in one way or another most of my life and I've seen a lot of venues open shop and close within months due to a lack of bands & customers. There's plenty of bands in the city, but they tend to be creatures of habit. They find a venue or two run by people they know and trust and play there all the time. Unless you're someone who is known by people within the music community, it can be really hard to open a new venue. I would love to see it succeed, more venues for local bands is definitely not a bad thing, I'm just skeptical.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1890  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 7:15 PM
rypinion's Avatar
rypinion rypinion is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: East Exchange, Winnipeg
Posts: 1,396
Quote:
Originally Posted by ediger View Post
Unless you're someone who is known by people within the music community, it can be really hard to open a new venue. I would love to see it succeed, more venues for local bands is definitely not a bad thing, I'm just skeptical.
I could be wrong, but aren't they all extremely well known within the music community? They all run Union Sound Hall which as far as I know has been nothing but hugely successful.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1891  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 7:34 PM
ediger ediger is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 107
Quote:
Originally Posted by rypinion View Post
I could be wrong, but aren't they all extremely well known within the music community? They all run Union Sound Hall which as far as I know has been nothing but hugely successful.
Didn't read the sidebar initially. I suppose that does help a bit, although Union Sound Hall has kind of a shitty reputation among local bands. DJs seem to dig it, but live bands not so much.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1892  
Old Posted Oct 21, 2014, 8:41 PM
Simplicity Simplicity is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 1,774
Quote:
Originally Posted by Authentic_City View Post
Are you suggesting something nefarious is going on? Do you think the "endless cash flow" is laundered money, for example?

I also don't know much about the restaurant business, but it sure looks like most of his ventures are successful (the exception being 360). He's also been quite a booster/builder of downtown. I hope the GW is successful because that stretch of Portage could sure use some life.
I'm trying not to suggest anything, I'm just saying it's all strange.

Successful in the restaurant industry in a city like Winnipeg means you're breaking even at some point over the first couple of years and starting to earn a little money at some point thereafter. And that's usually with the ownership working 80 hours a week. The idea that one could be continually funding major expansions and renovations of other restaurants using the capital from relatively new restaurants would mean you'd likely be starving your existing operations of necessary cash flow even if they were packed. Especially, in fact, given that it takes a while to develop a well-oiled machine where you know exactly how to run your kitchen and front end; busy restaurants require lots of labour and inputs. They need all the cash they can get.

That's why it's strange to me. New restaurants need lots of cash and banks won't give it to them. I just wonder where all this extraneous capital comes from. As a group within a tough industry, they don't seem to be bothered or affected by the constraints everybody else seems to be.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1893  
Old Posted Oct 22, 2014, 1:43 AM
buzzg buzzg is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 7,800
Bernier was quoted in the paper saying "I don't know if I'll ever make money off of this." That's a bizarre business plan. My friend got a job as a bartender there and had to get certified as a forklift driver because the kegs are stacked so high. Imagine how long it will take to change a keg.... also, with 150+ beers on tap, the low volume ones are going to go stale quite often.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1894  
Old Posted Oct 22, 2014, 3:26 AM
Simplicity Simplicity is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Posts: 1,774
Quote:
Originally Posted by buzzg View Post
Bernier was quoted in the paper saying "I don't know if I'll ever make money off of this." That's a bizarre business plan.
Yeah, this was a little eyebrow-raising. If we were talking about installing this same insane beer cooler in the existing location, then okay; it's a bit of a risk.

But we're talking about a multi-million dollar renovation of a 20,000 square foot restaurant for a relatively unproven concept that will no doubt bleed cash for a long time. The monthly operating costs on a building like that are probably somewhere on the order of $50K/mth including rent, taxes, insurance, and so forth. And who knows, they probably got a few months worth of free rent out of the deal, but that's completely immaterial in the overall scheme of things.

Anyway, who knows. It's just all very unconventional...
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1895  
Old Posted Oct 22, 2014, 3:33 AM
h0twired's Avatar
h0twired h0twired is offline
Dynamic Positivity!
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Winnipeg
Posts: 2,914
Quote:
Originally Posted by buzzg View Post
Imagine how long it will take to change a keg.... also, with 150+ beers on tap, the low volume ones are going to go stale quite often.
Professionally maintained kegs don't go stale that quickly.

If kept cool and properly pressurized with CO2 a keg can last 3-6 months depending on the beer.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1896  
Old Posted Oct 22, 2014, 7:00 PM
Cyro's Avatar
Cyro Cyro is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 5,197
Quote:
Originally Posted by ediger View Post
I would love to see it succeed, more venues for local bands is definitely not a bad thing, I'm just skeptical.
Aside from the discussion regarding Berniers ability to finance his establishments, a live music venue/restaurant is a much needed bump to this area of Portage ave. I guess coming from a musician you'd expect me to say this but I hope it succeeds as well.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1897  
Old Posted Oct 23, 2014, 4:53 AM
buzzg buzzg is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 7,800
Quote:
Originally Posted by h0twired View Post
Professionally maintained kegs don't go stale that quickly.

If kept cool and properly pressurized with CO2 a keg can last 3-6 months depending on the beer.
Yeah, exactly. 3 months is really the maximum you should go, especially for darker beers. And think, with that many on tap, there's a very good chance a lot of them don't even pour a pint a week.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1898  
Old Posted Oct 23, 2014, 2:25 PM
drew's Avatar
drew drew is offline
the first stamp is free
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Hippyville, Winnipeg
Posts: 8,118
Quote:
Originally Posted by h0twired View Post
Professionally maintained kegs don't go stale that quickly.

If kept cool and properly pressurized with CO2 a keg can last 3-6 months depending on the beer.
They use smaller kegs for many of the beers.
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1899  
Old Posted Oct 26, 2014, 7:09 PM
1ajs's Avatar
1ajs 1ajs is offline
ʇɥƃıuʞ -*ʞpʇ*-
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: lynn lake
Posts: 25,965
so word on the street is the brother of the owner of deer almond is opening a wine bar in the old mon dragon space
Reply With Quote
     
     
  #1900  
Old Posted Nov 3, 2014, 7:17 PM
Cyro's Avatar
Cyro Cyro is offline
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 5,197
The cafe 22 location/expansion @ 823 Corydon looks nice.





avisonyoung.com

One of the units was being occupied today.
Reply With Quote
     
     
This discussion thread continues

Use the page links to the lower-right to go to the next page for additional posts
 
 
Reply

Go Back   SkyscraperPage Forum > Regional Sections > Canada > Manitoba & Saskatchewan
Forum Jump



Forum Jump


All times are GMT. The time now is 6:24 PM.

     
SkyscraperPage.com - Archive - Privacy Statement - Top

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.