Quote:
Originally Posted by LouisVanDerWright
Guys, they add floors to under construction office buildings all the time. I believe it actually happened to several of the most recent crop.
They just don't add like 12 floors or make major design changes like that because that would mess up the elevator counts etc. They add like 2-5 floors because the the design can easily accommodate that slightly higher weight and traffic.
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Yeah, it's been even somewhat routine for newer Chicago office towers. To be fair though, I definitely do not believe we've had an example that was this far along in construction before additional floors were announced. To be perhaps even fairer, I also definitely do not believe that (let's assume for a moment that a deal with Kirkland is struck), we've had an example in the last ~20 years in which a tower had either a signed least or an LOI taking the building to (probably) this high of a pre-leased %. Still, this is a little tricky because my preference under more normal market circumstances would be that you would want a half-decent amount of leasing to still occur in the future to give some upside options no matter your intended hold period/exit strategy, etc. These are not normal office market conditions. How confident is prudent right now in terms of tenant demand for small-medium sized spaces at very high rental rates (for Chicago)? At the end of the day, to me, l would take that risk if I'm Hines because I have pretty much the best building/most advanced space in the entire market, and even if the market for this type of tenant/space is a little shaky for an extended time, the competitive advantage will likely make it work and get that extra space leased in a reasonable time frame.
My guess at this point is it more than likely will not happen.....just a guess. Let's put it this way - it would need to happen very soon - as the PD I'd assume will need to go back for amendment (someone will correct if I'm wrong)....not that I expect there to be controversy to move it through.
Was going to make the same point earlier re elevator capacity - that's the real issue, and why they only add a few stories at most (perhaps maxing out at 4-5ish in an outlier case) in these cases. You obviously can't add another bank of elevators, and developers are not going to try to push the final bank to the limit in terms of comfortable capacity. They wouldn't do that prior to the pandemic and they sure aren't going to be getting aggressive on that front now!