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Posted Feb 27, 2008, 1:03 PM
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Grand Bay-Westfield :: NB
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Moncton housing market to slow, but still strong
CMHC releases forecast for 2008, which shows Moncton numbers dropping closer to national average
By Eric Lewis
Times & Transcript Staff
Published Wednesday February 27th, 2008
Appeared on page A9
The housing market in Moncton is likely to take a small drop in 2008, but it will remain strong, and for the potential home buyer, it's still one of the most affordable places in Atlantic Canada for purchasing a home.
The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) held its annual Housing Outlook Seminar at the Delta Beauséjour Hotel on Main Street in Moncton yesterday, where two housing market experts looked at the state of the housing market in Canada, how it is impacted by the U.S. market, and most importantly, what to look ahead to going forward.
Noting that the market here is likely to soften this year, senior market analyst with CMHC Claude Gautreau says it is simply a matter of the province settling in with the rest of Canada.
"The market has been moving at a very high level (in Moncton), which probably isn't sustainable," he says. "It's moving to a level that is probably more sustainable."
In 2007, while Canada's single housing starts declined by 3.5 per cent from 2006, in New Brunswick, it went up 14.1 per cent, far ahead of the national average and the fourth highest total single starts in the past decade. However, the national multiple-unit starts increased by 2 per cent while multiple-unit starts in New Brunswick fell by 5.5 per cent.
Also, the vacancy rate in rental units declined over the last year.
Working in Metro Moncton's favour, Gautreau noted, are reasonable mortgage rates, a high employment rate and strong migration into the province.
Moncton and Fredericton were the only two regions in the province to experience a population growth between 2001 and 2006. Moncton led the pack with a growth rate of 6.5 per cent and Fredericton followed at 5.3 per cent. Even the national population increase (5.4 per cent) was far behind Metro Moncton's increase.
All of this contributes to the city's strong housing market.
Total housing starts in Moncton last year were 1,425, nearly 400 units above the 10-year average of 1,145 and a year-over-year increase of 10.5 per cent over 2006 numbers.
The majority (54 per cent) of the homes built were in the upper mid-price range of $175,000 to $250,000, with higher priced homes ($250,000 and up) only taking 12.2 per cent, lower mid-priced homes ($130,000 to $175,000) taking 30.8 per cent and the rest (3 per cent) by homes under $130,000.
However, Moncton's tastes are getting more expensive as the percentage of higher-priced homes being purchased has increased dramatically over the last few years, from 5.4 per cent in 2005 to 12.2 per cent last year.
Gautreau noted that even with all the growth, Metro Moncton is still one of the most affordable places to live in the Maritimes. The average price of a used home is $140,032 while a similar house in Halifax would go for $215,645 or $570,795 in Vancouver. Fredericton and Saint John are comparable to Moncton, Gautreau noted.
He said the average price of a home in Moncton will continue to rise in 2008, likely to about $147,000 and continuing to $152,000 in 2009.
However, Gautreau said with labour market conditions strong, more opportunities opening in the work force and migration rates strong, the housing market here should remain strong.
Mortgage rates are at the highest they've been since 1990 in Atlantic Canada, but there are many more payment options these days which make it easier for home owners.
In an earlier presentation, economist Alex MacDonald noted that there should be increasing demand in the future for smaller dwellings as 52 per cent of New Brunswickers living in apartments live alone.
In addition, household size has continued to decline in New Brunswick over the last several years. In 1991, the average household in the province had 2.8 people living in it. In 2006, the number is now 2.4.
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Dieppe gives final reading to municipal plan amendments, zoning bylaw
Published Wednesday February 27th, 2008
Appeared on page A10
Dieppe city council gave third and final readings at their regular session last night to amendments to the city's municipal plan and to a zoning bylaw, setting the stage for a new housing development.
Tridev Corp. plans to build homes near Melanson Road, west of Dieppe Boulevard, north of Melanson Road and east of duMoulin Street.
The development will include single-family homes and duplexes.
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Wireless Internet arrives in downtown Dieppe
Published Wednesday February 27th, 2008
Appeared on page A10
Wireless Internet service has arrived in downtown Dieppe -- as have two webcams allowing you to watch goings-on downtown from your home or work computer.
The free wireless Internet service in the downtown is part of an agreement between the city and Aliant. The service is available outside and inside city hall and neighbouring Place 1604.
Both webcams are mounted on top of city hall, with one pointed at Place 1604 and the other aimed at the city's major intersection of Acadie Avenue and Champlain Street. You can see the view from the cameras via the city's web site: www.dieppe.ca
At its regular council meeting Monday, Dieppe awarded a three-year agreement to Aliant for technical support for the municipality's computer network, personal computers and peripheral equipment, at a cost of about $60,000 per year.
The cost could vary should the city increase or decrease its number of computer terminals and similar equipment, council was told.
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