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Originally Posted by fenwick16
I think at times that the Nova Centre might be overdoing it with the office component. They could consider converting the office tower to residential.
The suburban vacancy rate on the other hand is down to 8.5%. This shows the strategic mistake in the municipality making it so difficult to develop downtown. Businessmen will simply start developing in areas that have less red tape. I keep thinking about the old (28 storey?) Halkirk development that was stopped. Getting more people living downtown will also make it a more desirable office location. Developing the Queens's landing would also encourage more people to travel downtown.
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It certainly makes one question how much too much?
We need new development downtown, but we can't upset the market like it was in the early 90's with Purdy’s' II came online. If something like this was to happen today, in this climate, it would take more then a decade to recover, and it could possibly cause the CBD to suffer worse then it already is.
That said, the CBRE market report is out today and unfortunately what I have been making comments on is happening.
Downtown vacancy in the "A" class sector is now at 10.1% and due to climb the remainder of this year. This amount of vacancy is climbing to levels seen in 2005. Absorption downtown is negative, meaning people are either moving or downsizing. In Q3 there will be a number of transactions that will increase this amount.
Converse, the suburb's posted a significant decrease in vacancy rate and will most likely spur new developments in that sector as it posted a year to date absorption of 260,000 sqft. However this number maybe misleading as its not true absorption as in new companies to the market, just people moving from one node to the other, and or growing.
Its certainly showing that companies are not looking to downtown, and that the downtown numbers, taking into account that emera is about to shed 130,000 square feet in March 2011, and is not included in these numbers, indicate that new construction will be a risky venture as existing product can undercut the price of new.
The main driver in companies looking to the burbs is parking and operational cost savings. Simply put, because the buildings that exist downtown are older they tend to be less efficient in operation. Therefore the newer product in the burbs can be as much as 50% cheaper in operational costs then downtown buildings. That’s a significant savings for a large user. For an example, say Emera moved to the burbs from the existing location. Take 130,000 sqft at 14.00 per square foot. That equals $1,820,000.00 in operating costs (not rent that’s on top of that). Now take the rate of a new development in the burbs (130,000 @ 9.00/sf) = $1,170,000. That’s a $650,000 per year savings. Over a 5 year lease term (typical industry standard) thats at total savings of $3.25 million. To me that is significant.
I certainly 100% agree with you, the market downtown needs more residential. Having people living in and around downtown is the only thing that will ever bring it back. I just wish they would allow greater height then what is within HRM by Design.