Quote:
Originally Posted by Rico
You make some valid points about the other projects....with an important catch. Those were all 'FREE' bridges and demand was not regulated by tolls. People are not rational about tolls, they will avoid them even when it is in their best interest to use the tolled option.
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Interestingly enough, these crossings were all tolled from Day 1:
1. GMT;
2. Oak Street Bridge;
3. Lions Gate Bridge;
4. IWM 2nd Narrows Bridge;
5. Queensborough bridge;
6. Pattullo Bridge;
BTW, when the GMT opened back in 1959, one was required to pay a 25 cent toll on both the OSB as well as the GMB. Adjusted for inflation, using the inflation calculator from the Bank of Canada, that would be an equivalent $4.10 in 2015 using the combo in one direction.
All tolls were lifted on April 1 (April Fools Day), 1964.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rico
The next point is specific to the GMT, where is the new demand coming from? Ladner? Tsawassen? Obviously there is not a lot of potential growth there unless we open up the ALR. That leaves South Surrey and North Delta, potential growth there...but...what the GMT will do is make better options less attractive. Why not build the Patulla replacement, King George LRT, AFB improvements, they compete for the same population growth and they cost everyone less.
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Firstly, the Pattullo Bridge replacement will completed as well. No doubt about that. That said, it serves a completely different catchment area. And north Surrey LRT will also be completed. Again, a different catchment area and will essentially supplant many current buses. OTOH, no improvements can be done to the AFB.
As for future potential demand for the GMB, some nodes:
1. U.S. border traffic;
2. IIRC, just one area in South Surrey is expected to see an increase of around 140,000 over the next couple of decades;
3. Ferry traffic - population will continue to grow on southern Van Isle, over the decades, which will fuel additional demand thereto IMHO;
4. Roberts Bank superport - normal growth as well the container terminal expansion, etc. fuel additional container truck traffic;
5. Many (including myself) avoid the GMT at many times of the day by using the longer AFB & Hwy 91 combo. I would not be surprised if that costs me another $1 or more in gasoline costs as a result. Would def revert back to the shorter length new GMB;
When infrastructure is built, I prefer to see same built for at least the 40-year time horizon. Just makes sense to me. In that vein, I would also prefer a lower $1.50 - $2 toll - in that vein the Van Suns Vaughn Palmer wrote an interesting piece a few years back:
http://www.vancouversun.com/Vaughn+Palme...+cash/9073794/story.html?__lsa=3404-af52