Quote:
Originally Posted by silvergate
Convenience is the key here. The only way transit will ever be competitive with driving is if you could access a reasonable amount of destinations, in a reasonable time frame, at a reasonable cost.
As it stands, our transit system doesn't really meet any of these criteria except in exceptional circumstances (i.e. you live walking distance to the Confederation Line).
I think the city has done an admirable job at getting commuters onto transit and out of cars so far. However, there definitely needs to be improvements to increase ridership for non-commuting trips.
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This is truth. And I will add, improvements for non-downtown job destinations.
While we spend billions on an almost completely downtown-centric rapid transit system, our city's job market is decentralizing at even a faster pace than ever. There is no clearer evidence than the thousands of Amazon jobs being created in transit deserts at Carlsbad and the fringe of Barrhaven. And while we encourage more and more residential intensification in the city centre (which I am not opposed to), more and more often, those residents will be commuting to a non-downtown job, creating reverse commutes that we cannot afford to service with transit. So road congestion just keeps getting worse everywhere.
It is true that it is easier to cut bus service, because the facts are lost in the details. This allows politicians to get away with this. Only on implementation, does the public ire get raised but then it is already too late as we have seen with previous service cuts.
Improving service frequency is only part of the answer, because as we encourage more and more intensification, traffic gets worse, which equally affects transit. This is why on key routes, more and more transit priority measures are needed. Transit can only become attractive if it is fairly competitive time-wise to a private vehicle. 1.5 hour commutes on transit will simply not be attractive to anybody other than the most desperate.
Just look at what is happening in Montreal and Toronto. Most of the new lines being built are segregated or semi-segregated. To move people faster, frequency is simply not enough, but in Ottawa, we have chosen to do nothing beyond the Confederation Line and the Trillium Line. Why? Because Confederation Line is consuming most of our transit investment. For some, the Confederation and Trillium Line will be a benefit, but as we have seen, it doesn't really deliver faster service to the majority of Ottawa residents who have to travel beyond these two lines at one or both ends of their trip.
But the financial cupboard is bare, especially the way the pandemic has clobbered transit. We will be lucky if we get back to 60% ridership in 2022 and that means service cuts are inevitable. And those service cuts will affect bus riders the most.