Quote:
Originally Posted by Novacek
Actually, it looks like updated county to county commuting data got released last month (based on the 09-13 ACS, the last dataset was circa 2010).
I may peruse it and see how close we may/may not be getting for some counties. I agree that "stealing" from another MSA probably isn't close to happening, but we may be getting closer on some of the currently unaffiliated counties (Burnet, etc.)
http://www.census.gov/hhes/commuting/
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If I'm understanding these numbers and the process:
Williamson (core county) to Travis: 94,930/213565 = 44%
Hays (core county) to Travis: 30193 / 77499 = 39%
(just for reference, I believe there's different criteria for the core counties).
Bastrop to Travis: 14439
Bastrop to Williamson: 1006
Bastrop to Hays: 460
15905 / 32415 = 49%
Caldwell to Travis: 4470
Caldwell to Williamson: 141
Caldwell to Hays: 2851
7462 / 15272 = 49%
So those two aren't going anywhere for a while.
Burnet to Travis: 2028
Burnet to Williamson: 1473
Burnet to Hays: 7
3508 / 18285 = 19%
So no addition of Burnet for a while. And it's just not growing very much either.
Milam to Travis: 797
Milam to Williamson: 803
Milam to Hays: 14
1614 / 9265 = 17%
So not them either. And they actually lost population since the census.
Blanco to Travis: 545
Blanco to Williamson: 30
Blanco to Hays: 234
809 / 4682 = 17%
Lee to Travis: 829
Lee to Williamson: 191
Lee to Hays: 4
1024 / 7391 = 14% Not a chance.
And just for completeness
Bell to Travis: 1634
Bell to Williamson: 2202
Bell to Hays: 32
3868 / 141,147 = 3%