Quote:
Originally Posted by hipster duck
I agree that doubling our transit infrastructure won’t result in a doubling of ridership, but I also think European cities’ lower-than-expected ridership might have to do with the dispersal of jobs around a medium-dense, mixed-use, and rather large in area CBD, rather than hyper-concentrated skyscraper office districts. Certainly this increases our ability to have high ridership numbers than our infrastructure and built environment would allow - particularly in a city like Calgary, but also in Toronto, Montreal and other places. Conversely, this would lower our ability to serve these areas by active travel, since proportionally fewer workers can live within walking/biking distance of their jobs, if tens of thousands of them are concentrated in a single, small spot, rather than dotting a large area.
|
I think you're quite right about the differences in city layout. But I'll counter with four arguments;
1. It doesn't have to work for everyone for it to work for a lot of people.
There are all sorts of circumstances where a car or transit would work a lot better. But there are a lot of circumstances where active transport would work better. The average commute distance in Canada is 7.8 km, about 30 minutes on a bike at a very leisurly pace. For every plumber commuting 20 km with equipment who needs a van and every Richmond Hill commuter who needs a GO train, there are at least as many people carrying nothing more than a laptop for 4-5 km who might very well take a bike if it were made an attractive and convenient option. The goal is not to put every trip on a bike, but rather to divert trips where it would be the most efficient choice. And with that alone, we could multiply our active share several times over.
2. European cities aren't all that more compact. But they still manage to have high active share.
One of the downsides to having more dispersed employment is that you're just as likely to have to commute further than you are to find a job close by. In fact, in countries like Germany, the average commute length is actually
longer than in Canada (
10.5 km vs 7.8). Although Canada's employment concentrations definitely make public transport more efficient than equivalent service would be in Europe, it would seem that it also helps to make our trips shorter and potentially more practical with active modes too.
3. It's not all about commutes
We often talk about commutes because we've got a lot of detailed data on that, but that's just one of our multitude of daily trips. Maybe the plumber from before has to drive to work, but is it really efficient for them to have to haul their multi-tonne vehicle 2 km for eggs? Or to drop off their kids at an activity 1 km away? Here again, some of these trips may require a car (not a week goes by when I don't hear about the scenario of driving a car-full of hockey equipment to a 4am practice), but an auful lot of them don't. Next Saturday afternoon, check how many cars are driving by with hockey equipment, Ikea furniture, or a backseat full from a Costco haul. It's not that many). Many of these trips could be diverted from cars if it were safe and convenient to do so. We'd all benefit from at least having it be a viable option to not have to play taxi for our kids, or mortal combat for a parking spot to grab a bag of milk and a dozen eggs.
4. Trains and bikes are greater than the sum of their parts.
Often the most frustrating part of any transit trip is the first/last mile. I can get from Union to Brampton in the blink of an eye, but getting from the GO station to my actual destination within Brampton is an eternity. Having viable active transport infrastructure multiplies transit's catchment area and usefulness, and cuts travel times. If you take, say, Union to Bramalea City Centre, GO+bus is 1h20, but GO+bike is 45 minutes. All of a sudden, transit becomes competitive even with off-peak driving (35 minutes). The best thing we can do to increase transit ridership may be to invest in active transport.