CHICAGO | Economic & Business Development

[marothisu]

Originally Posted by the urban politician

I don’t remember seeing this data. You got a source for this?

I think I posted it in December. It's from the American Community Survey. I'll find the table number when I'm back home. Chicago gained something like 25k more households earning 6+ figures than Houston despite Houston outgaining Chicago by 200K total people and Chicagos population staying almost the same. But again, news won't pick this up because they are too dumb to realize that population is just one of many indicators of a city or urban area, and isn't always indicative of what's really going on. Most of the articles from Crain's with data came from me. It was not their own investigation.

[LouisVanDerWright]

Originally Posted by ardecila

If traffic gets too nightmarish, just open up some of the cul-de-sacs and put in a few parking bans. 19th wouldn't even be that bad if idiots didn't park along the north side of that street... they're just asking to get whomped by a passing semi. From curb to viaduct there's like 30' of asphalt, which is almost enough for two interstate-width traffic lanes. Maybe put in a traffic signal at 19th/California.

Really should have had Cinespace commit to some of these improvements, right now all they have to do is beef up some turn lanes...

Or they will get sideswiped by a passing property management pickup. I had to pull in my mirrors the other day to get down 19th. I see the semis get into Lagunitas but have no idea how they get out. There's not enough room for a pickup to squeeze through so I have no idea how the semis get back out of there.

And no, Im not turning NIMBY, I'm just wondering how on Earth traffic is supposed to circulate in an area of only one ways surrounded on two sides by film studio and railway viaduct.

[marothisu]

Here is the data for 2010 to 2016 change in $100K+ earning households:

Source: 2010 and 2016 US Census American Community Survey, 1 year. Table DP03
https://factfinder.census.gov

Change in $100K households between 2010 and 2016:
1. NYC: +227,754 Households
2. Los Angeles: +102,178 Households
3. Chicago: +85,935 Households
4. San Francisco: +63,230 Households
5. Houston: +60,737 Households
6. Seattle: +57,145 Households
7. Austin: +54,772 Households
8. San Diego: +52,201 Households
9. San Jose: +50,477 Households
10. Washington DC: +36,133 Households
11. Philadelphia: +36,018 Households
12. Portland: +34,698 Households
13. Denver: +34,122 Households
14. Charlotte: +33,017 Households
15. Phoenix: +32,251 Households
16. Dallas: +31,580 Households
17. Boston: +30,368 Households
18. Fort Worth: +26,627 Households
19. San Antonio: +25,585 Households
20. Nashville: +25,273 Households
21. Columbus: +23,270 Households
22. Oakland: +21,030 Households
23. Jacksonville: +18,990 Households
24. Raleigh: +18,527 Households
25. Atlanta: +17,998 Households
26. Oklahoma City: +16,796 Households
27. Indianapolis: +15,499 Households
28. Baltimore: +15,257 Households
29. Minneapolis: +14,870 Households
30. Omaha: +14,825 Households
31. Sacramento: +14,730 Households
32. Colorado Springs: +14,518 Households
33. Louisville: +13,513 Households
34. Irvine, CA: +13,488 Households
35. Madison, WI: +12,481 Households
36. Tampa: +12,258 Households
37. Jersey City: +11,884 Households
38. Mesa, AZ: +11,684 Households
39. Las Vegas: +11,216 Households
40. Miami: +10,762 Households
41. Milwaukee: +10,193 Households
42. Virginia Beach: +10,069 Households
43. Tulsa: +9698 Households
44. Durham, NC: +9258 Households
45. Plano, TX: +9098 Households
46. St. Petersburg: +9032 Households
47. Pittsburgh: +8944 Households
48. St. Paul: +8908 Households
49. Wichita: +8755 Households
50. Lincoln, NE: +8735 Households
51. Anchorage: +8569 Households
52. Riverside: +8339 Households
53. Kansas City: +8294 Households
54. St. Louis: +8126 Households
55. Fresno: +7993 Households
56. Long Beach: +7896 Households
57. Aurora, CO: +7456 Households
58. New Orleans: +7284 Households
59. Orlando: +7278 Households
60. Albuquerque: +7244 Households
61. Arlington, TX: +7105 Households
62. Stockton, CA: +6966 Households
63. Anaheim: +6793 Households
64. Henderson, NV: +6594 Households
65. Corpus Christi: +6513 Households
66. El Paso: +6158 Households
67. Memphis: +6065 Households
68. Greensboro, NC: +5758 Households
69. Cincinnati: +5630 Households
70. Bakersfield: +5426 Households
71. Lubbock, TX: +5000 Households
72. Toledo: +4961 Households
73. Fort Wayne: +4400 Households
74. Tucson: +4361 Households
75. Detroit: +4204 Households
76. Chula Vista, CA: +4067 Households
77. Buffalo: +4009 Households
78. Laredo, TX: +3838 Households
79. Cleveland: +3534 Households
80. Newark: +3480 Households

[marothisu]

On the above too, I was curious as to which Community Areas gained the most since 2010. This is using ACS table B19001 - since it's by census tract, it has to be the 5 year. The numbers overall for the city will differ a little bit from the 1 year, but still.

The greater downtown area (let's say Near North, Near West, Near South, and the Loop) increased by 16,045 households, which was an increase of over 17%. This total change just downtown alone was more than the entire cities (individually) of Miami, Las Vegas, Indianapolis, Minneapolis, Baltimore, Cleveland, Memphis, New Orleans, St. Louis, Kansas City, Milwaukee, etc and not much lower than Atlanta. If we add in Lakeview, Lincoln Park, West Town, and Logan Square to this then that's an increase of 27,092 households. From the above list also add in Atlanta, Raleigh, Columbus, San Antonio, Oakland, etc. Not much lower than the entire city of Boston and Dallas. Just saying...that's kind of impressive for a geographic area that has 533,000 people in it, or just about 20% of the city's population.

Change from 2010-2016 in $100K+ Earning Households:
1. Near North Side: +5481 households (+29.1%)
2. The Loop: +4395 households (+93.5%)
3. Near West Side: +4185 households (+60.9%)
4. West Town: +4042 households (+37.2%)
5. Lake View: +3002 households (+16.2%)
6. Logan Square: +2470 households (+37.6%)
7. Near South Side: +1984 households (+50.5%)
8. Lincoln Park: +1533 households (+10.9%)
9. Portage Park: +1506 households (+37.8%)
10. Lincoln Square: +1408 households (+33.4%)
11. Norwood Park: +1280 households (+28.1%)
12. Albany Park: +1159 households (+42.4%)
13. North Center: +1088 households (+18.1%)
14. West Ridge: +997 households (+22.2%)
15. Irving Park: +898 households (+21.8%)
16. Uptown: +871 households (+15.8%)
17. Belmont Cragin: +844 households (+34.5%)
18. Garfield Ridge: +831 households (+30.4%)
19. Edgewater: +658 households (+12.7%)
20. Jefferson Park: +602 households (+23.4%)
21T. Forest Glen: +599 households (+19.9%)
21T. Mount Greenwood: +599 households (+26.1%)
23. Dunning: +507 households (+14.9%)
24. West Lawn: +502 households (+53.5%)
25T. Bridgeport: +494 households (+30.7%)
25T. Clearing: +494 households (+33.6%)
27. Lower West Side: +489 households (+60.1%)
28. Morgan Park: +483 households (+22%)
29. Ashburn: +470 households (+16.5%)
30. Washington Heights: +418 households (+34.6%)
31. Edison Park: +405 households (+26%)
32. Avondale: +360 households (+17.3%)
33. Humboldt Park: +327 households (+26.6%)
34. Austin: +315 households (+10.5%)
35. South Shore: +312 households (+22.5%)
36. O'Hare: +302 households (+27.1%)
37. West Elsdon: +284 households (+47.5%)
38. Brighton Park: +270 households (+28.9%)
39. Hyde Park: +257 households (+9.6%)
40. McKinley Park: +236 households (+48.2%)
41. Archer Heights: +233 households (+57%)
42. Kenwood: +231 households (+12.6%)
43. Hermosa: +226 households (+33.2%)
44. Grand Boulevard: +221 households (+20.7%)
45. South Lawndale: +192 households: (+18.2%)
46. Roseland: +176 households (+10.7%)
47. Montclare: +160 households (+22.2%)
48T. Gage Park: +156 households (+26.2%)
48T. West Englewood: +156 households (+47.9%)
50T. East Garfield Park: +138 households (+30.7%)
50T. Hegewisch: +138 households (+18.9%)
52. Pullman: +132 households (+79.5%)
53. Beverly: +123 households (+3.8%)
54. North Park: +121 households (+7.9%)
55. North Lawndale: +101 households (+19.4%)
56. Armour Square: +62 households (+12.2%)
57T. Fuller Park: +55 households (+611.1%)
57T. Washington Park: +55 households (+25.2%)
59. Burnside: +34 households (+69.4%)
60. Riverdale: +14 households (+41.2%)
61. East Side: -8 households (-0.9%)
62. Woodlawn: -12 households (-1.2%)
63. Avalon Park: -35 households (-6.1%)
64. South Chicago: -44 households (-5.8%)
65T. Douglas: -74 households (-7.5%)
65T. Rogers Park: -74 households (-2.2%)
67. Oakland: -81 households (-23%)
68. West Garfield Park: -82 households (-28%)
69. New City: -92 households (-10.7%)
70. Chicago Lawn: -113 households (-8.7%)
71. South Deering: -143 households (-30.8%)
72. Englewood: -146 households (-27.8%)
73. West Pullman: -149 households (-11.3%)
74. Greater Grand Crossing: -171 households (-18%)
75. Auburn Gresham: -219 households (-13.7%)
76. Calumet Heights: -311 households (-26%)
77. Chatham: -340 households (-21.4%)

2016 Community Areas by Total Number of $100K+ Earning Households:
1. Near North Side: 24,331 households
2. Lake View: 21,524 households
3. Lincoln Park: 15,559 households
4. West Town: 14,914 households
5. Near West Side: 11,053 households
6. The Loop: 9096 households
7. Logan Square: 9036 households
8. North Center: 7092 households
9. Uptown: 6372 households
10. Near South Side: 5910 households
11. Edgewater: 5856 households
12. Norwood Park: 5838 households
13. Lincoln Square: 5627 households
14. Portage Park: 5495 households
15. West Ridge: 5484 households
16. Irving Park: 5009 households
17. Dunning: 3913 households
18. Albany Park: 3891 households
19. Forest Glen: 3609 households
20. Garfield Ridge: 3561 households
21. Beverly: 3369 households
22. Austin: 3325 households
23. Ashburn: 3320 households
24. Belmont Cragin: 3293 households
25. Rogers Park: 3217 households
26. Jefferson Park: 3179 households
27. Hyde Park: 2942 households
28. Mount Greenwood: 2896 households
29. Morgan Park: 2682 households
30. Avondale: 2442 households
31. Bridgeport: 2104 households
32. Kenwood: 2059 households
33. Edison Park: 1965 households
34. Clearing: 1964 households
35. Roseland: 1824 households
36. South Shore: 1701 households
37. North Park: 1662 households
38. Washington Heights: 1626 households
39. Humboldt Park: 1556 households
40. West Lawn: 1441 households
41. O'Hare: 1415 households
42. Auburn Gresham: 1376 households
43. Lower West Side: 1302 households
44. Grand Boulevard: 1289 households
45. South Lawndale: 1246 households
46. Chatham: 1246 households
47. Brighton Park: 1205 households
48. Chicago Lawn: 1192 households
49. West Pullman: 1175 households
50. Woodlawn: 995 households
51. East Side: 919 households
52. Douglas: 909 households
53. Hermosa: 906 households
54. Calumet Heights: 884 households
55. West Elsdon: 882 households
56. Montclare: 881 households
57. Hegewisch: 869 households
58. Greater Grand Crossing: 779 households
59. New City: 771 households
60. Gage Park: 752 households
61. McKinley Park: 726 households
62. South Chicago: 721 households
63. Archer Heights: 642 households
64. North Lawndale: 622 households
65. East Garfield Park: 587 households
66. Armour Square: 570 households
67. Avalon Park: 537 households
68. West Englewood: 482 households
69. Englewood: 380 households
70. South Deering: 322 households
71. Pullman: 298 households
72. Washington Park: 273 households
73. Oakland: 271 households
74. West Garfield Park: 211 households
75. Burnside: 83 households
76. Fuller Park: 64 households
77. Riverdale: 48 households

[the urban politician]

The greater downtown area (let's say Near North, Near West, Near South, and the Loop) increased by 16,045 households, which was an increase of over 17%. This total change just downtown alone was more than the entire cities (individually) of Miami, Las Vegas, Indianapolis, Minneapolis, Baltimore, Cleveland, Memphis, New Orleans, St. Louis, Kansas City, Milwaukee, etc and not much lower than Atlanta. If we add in Lakeview, Lincoln Park, West Town, and Logan Square to this then that's an increase of 27,092 households. From the above list also add in Atlanta, Raleigh, Columbus, San Antonio, Oakland, etc. Not much lower than the entire city of Boston and Dallas. Just saying...that's kind of impressive for a geographic area that has 533,000 people in it, or just about 20% of the city's population.

This quote in particular I found intriguing.

Great sleuthing as always, man. Do you happen to know if Chicago performs quite as well when using metro instead of city data?

Also, if you compare Chicago’s gain to Houston, I’m willing to wager that the gain of such households in Houston is over a wide swath of that massive city’s miles and miles of suburban tracts. For Chicago, a majority of that growth is within the confines of truly dense urbanity.

[the urban politician]

Some other observations based on your numbers:

South shore is gentrifying more than Woodlawn. What’s going on with Woodlawn?

Pilsen is gentrifying faster than Avondale

Logan Square is on fire

Near West Side is insanity

South Loop probably has the most untapped potential right now

There are really quite a lot of observations one can make. Kenwood is gentrifying at a faster rate than Hyde Park, although Hyde Park is still gaining more higher income households in total numbers.

[Vlajos]

marothisu, did you direct Crains to the latest story on millionaires too?

[bnk]

I found Madison Wisconsin to be outperforming its size.

More growth in 100K

Than other notably large metros such as Miami, Orlando, Tampa, Detroit, Cleveland,
Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Cincinnati, Kansas City....


Interesting

These must be city limits and not metros.

[Vlajos]

Originally Posted by bnk

I found Madison Wisconsin to be outperforming its size.

More growth in 100K

Than other notably large metros such as Miami, Orlando, Tampa, Detroit, Cleveland,
Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Cincinnati, Kansas City....


Interesting

These must be city limits and not metros.

Yes, the numbers marothisu posted are for city only.

[the urban politician]

Obviously Marothisu doesn't have time for this, but it would be neat to see how the numbers change if you change the household income to $200k, or $300k, etc.

My guess is that central area hoods and perhaps Lincoln Park, Lakeview will vastly stand out

[marothisu]

I think our idea of gentrification is maybe a little different. $100K+ obviously is, though in my opinion it starts more like $75K or even lower. I'm thinking too about all the people coming out of school and making a decent (but not 6 figure, usually) salary nowadays probably more like in the $55K - $85K range.

I can get data for $200K+ by community area - that's the highest the census makes available. I'll do that in some posts coming up. But first, here are some MSA numbers from 2010 to 2016 from the 1 year ACS (table B19001). Only MSAs of 1+ million people as of 2016.

Change in $100K+ Earning Households 2016 vs. 2010 by MSA
1. New York MSA: +550,644 households
2. Los Angeles MSA: +328,393 households
3. Chicago MSA: +260,648 households
4. Dallas MSA: +237,889 households
5. San Francisco MSA: +236,262 households
6. Houston MSA: +218,247 households
7. Seattle MSA: +188,864 households
8. Washington DC MSA: +187,693 households
9. Boston MSA: +176,001 households
10. Atlanta MSA: +166,378 households
11. Minneapolis MSA: +143,649 households
12. Philadelphia MSA: +137,306 households
13. Phoenix MSA: +129,084 households
14. Detroit MSA: +126,444 households
15. Miami MSA: +120,409 households
16. Portland MSA: +118,118 households
17. Denver MSA: +115,565 households
18. Charlotte MSA: +110,717 households
19. San Diego MSA: +104,463 households
20. Austin MSA: +103,945 households
21. San Jose MSA: +93,865 households
22. Baltimore MSA: +83,641 households
23. Tampa MSA: +82,117 households
24. Pittsburgh MSA: +78,667 households
25. Riverside, CA MSA: +78,401 households
26. St. Louis MSA: +76,882 households
27. Nashville MSA: +75,475 households
28. Sacramento MSA: +68,986 households
29. Cincinnati MSA: +67,860 households
30. Columbus, OH MSA: +65,694 households
31. Indianapolis MSA: +62,582 households
32. Orlando MSA: +59,741 households
33. San Antonio MSA: +58,861 households
34. Kansas City MSA: +56,106 households
35. Raleigh MSA: +54,228 households
36. Cleveland MSA: +52,182 households
37. Providence MSA: +51,398 households
38. Grand Rapids, MI MSA: +49,876 households
39. Jacksonville MSA: +42,318 households
40. Milwaukee MSA: +41,030 households
41. Salt Lake City MSA: +36,809 households
42. Virginia Beach MSA: +36,697 households
43. Oklahoma City MSA: +35,199 households
44. Las Vegas MSA: +34,866 households
45. Buffalo MSA: +32,265 households
46. Louisville MSA: +31,666 households
47. Hartford, CT MSA: +28,619 households
48. Richmond, VA MSA: +26,632 households
49. Rochester, NY MSA: +23,283 households
50. Birmingham, AL MSA: +22,582 households
51. Memphis MSA: +20,659 households
52. New Orleans MSA: +20,624 households
53. Tucson MSA: +16,133 households

[the urban politician]

Thanks. I did some math with the data from your two tables and got the figures below. Among the top ten metro gainers in >$100k households, here was the percentage of that gain within the core city:

NYC 41%
LA 31%
Chicago 33%
Dallas 13%
SF 26%
Houston 28%
Seattle 30%
DC 19%
Boston 17%
Atlanta 11%

[the urban politician]

^ Bear in mind that Houston city proper is about 656 sq miles (nearly triple that of Chicago’s), hence its relatively high “central city capture” of higher income households isn’t all that noteworthy.

To a lesser degree one can say the same out LA, which has a land area roughly double Chicago’s.

Outside of New York’s insanity, Chicago really is punching far above its weight in central city strength. Seattle also deserves special mention here.

[the urban politician]

If you really want to do a hardcore analysis, you can use each city’s proportion of its metro’s population, and determine how that percentage compares to my percentages above, to determine if the central city is gaining >$100k households faster than, slower than, or at the same rate as the rest of its metro.

[the urban politician]

Ok I’m bored, here is a list of core city population as a ratio of metro population for the same 10 metros:

NYC 42%
LA 30%
Chicago 28%
Dallas 30%
SF 19%
Houston 34%
Seattle 19%
DC 11%
Boston 14%
Atlanta 8%

[the urban politician]

^ Much more revealing.

Among the big 5 gainers, Chicago is far outperforming it’s metro, and SF even more so.

The big Texas cities are underperforming compared to their metros, with Dallas in particular performing poorly. Meanwhile DC and Seattle’s core cities are way outperforming their metros.

This has been an interesting exercise.

[marothisu]

^ Yes. Chicago in the 6+ figure realm has been doing quite well and flying well under the radar both city wise and metro area wise. Chicago is very much outgrowing other cities and metro areas in this regard that were outgaining Chicago by a ton of population (overall) in the same time period.

The greater downtown area (Near North, Near West, Near South, and the Loop) has gained 5891 households making $200K+ from 2010 to 2016, a 44.6% increase. Add in West Town, Logan Square, Lincoln Park, Lakeview, North Center, Lincoln Square, and Uptown and you're talking about an increase of 13,049 households making a minimum of $200K per year, a 38.4% increase.

Entire cities (individually) that the downtown area + other handful of areas outgained:
Philadelphia
Boston
Miami
Atlanta
Portland
San Antonio

Also, the entire city of Dallas only outgained this small section of Chicago by less than 2000...And also, the downtown area alone outgained the entire city of Miami in this regard, and not much below the entire city of San Antonio.

The downtown + handful of other areas have a higher percentage of $200K+ households than the following entire cities of similar-ish size: Miami, Atlanta, Boston, Portland, Austin, etc.


$200K+ earning households by community area 2016 vs. 2010 in Chicago:
1. Near North Side: +2043 households
2. West Town: +2039 households
3. Near West Side: +1740 households
4. Lake View: +1445 households
5. The Loop: +1162 households
6. Logan Square: +1089 households
7. Near South Side: +946 households
8. North Center: +847 households
9. Uptown: +702 households
10. Lincoln Square: +660 households
11. West Ridge: +609 households
12. Portage Park: +468 households
13. Jefferson Park: +466 households
14. Norwood Park: +386 households
15. Lincoln Park: +376 households
16. Forest Glen: +375 households
17. Edison Park: +354 households
18. Avondale: +286 households
19. Albany Park: +279 households
20. Hyde Park: +258 households
21. Garfield Ridge: +229 households
22. Irving Park: +209 households
23. Brighton Park: +186 households
24. Ashburn: +174 households
25. Morgan Park: +166 households
26. Belmont Cragin: +150 households
27. Edgewater: +142 households
28. South Shore: +130 households
29. Montclare: +127 households
30. Austin: +120 households
31. Hermosa: +83 households
32. Mount Greenwood: +82 households
33. East Side: +79 households
34. Lower West Side: +64 households
35. McKinley Park: +57 households
36. Humboldt Park: +45 households
37. Dunning: +44 households
38. Chicago Lawn: +43 households
39. Beverly: +40 households
40T. O'Hare: +39 households
40T. West Lawn: +39 households
42. Washington Heights: +38 households
43. Kenwood: +37 households
44. Rogers Park: +30 households
45. West Garfield Park: +24 households
46. West Elsdon: +20 households
47. Avalon Park: +15 households
48T. Oakland: +13 households
48T. South Deering: +13 households
50T. Armour Square: +10 households
50T. Burnside: +10 households
50T. Woodlawn: +10 households
53T. Pullman: +8 households
53T. South Chicago: +8 households
55T. Clearing: +6 households
55T. East Garfield Park: +6 households
55T. Washington Park: +6 households
58. Fuller Park: +5 households
59T. Archer Heights: unchanged
59T. West Englewood: unchanged
61. Auburn Gresham: -2 households
62T. Bridgeport: -4 households
62T. Riverdale: -4 households
64. Hegewisch: -10 households
65. West Pullman: -13 households
66. North Park: -14 households
67. Gage Park: -18 households
68. Grand Boulevard: -25 households
69. South Lawndale: -30 households
70. Englewood: -38 households
71. New City: -39 households
72. Greater Grand Crossing: -40 households
73. Roseland: -41 households
74. Douglas: -43 households
75. North Lawndale: -69 households
76. Chatham: -129 households
77. Calumet Heights: -161 households

[Vlajos]

Thanks marothisu, great info as always!

[left of center]

^ Thanks for doing all that research, marothisu!

Glad to see my community area (West Town) is doing quite well. Seems to drop off precipitously at Kedzie though... Humboldt Park only saw a gain of 45 households, vs 2039 in West Town. It did better with the 100K+ crowd, at 327. Still got a long way to go before gentrification begins to arrive in that neighborhood in any meaningful way.

[bnk]

Not sure how true this article is but

GA,TX,NC,VA,FL...

Not so gay friendly states

Illinois ranks very high btw.





http://www.chicagotribune.com/busine...423-story.html



The unspoken factor in Amazon's search for a new home: Jeff Bezos' support for gay rights

Jonathan O'Connell
Washington Post

April 23rd

...


That sentiment has not played well at Amazon, according to a person who has been on tour with Amazon as it met with local officials. "I just think Atlanta's out," the person, who is not an Amazon employee, said.
The Georgia legislature did not approve the adoption bill before it adjourned last month. The Georgia Department of Economic Development, which is handling Atlanta's bid for HQ2, declined to comment on the matter.

Amazon also declined to answer questions about the meetings, and it is not known how much a region's stance on gay rights ultimately will factor into its decision. The company's search for a region of "compatible cultural" values is one of many issues it has said it's considering as it chooses the new headquarters.
But the cause of gay rights has emerged as a focus for the company's founder and chief executive, Jeff Bezos. (Bezos owns The Washington Post).
One of Bezos's first public actions on same-sex marriage in 2012 took advocates by surprise.
The Supreme Court's decision allowing same-sex marriage nationwide was three years away when advocates in a bare-bones office in south Seattle plotted how best to ask Bezos and his wife about a donation.

...












Good state rankings and maps in this NY Times article



https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...to-be-gay.html

The Worst (and Best) Places to Be Gay in America

By Frank Bruni


...