2022 Municipal Election

[urban_planner]

My wife got one and we don't even live in Hamilton.

[SteelTown]

Update: Andrea Horwath has big edge among decided voters ahead of Hamilton mayoral election

https://www.insauga.com/andrea-horwa...CFWtNgBYMl0uI0

Resume and name cachet appear to be driving the numbers for decided voters ahead of Hamilton’s 2022 mayoral race.

Former Ontario NDP leader Andrea Horwath, who stepped down as party leader and has been an elected member of provincial parliament (MPP) for Hamilton since 2014, has a sizable lead heading into Monday’s election, according to data from Mainstreet Research for iPolitics.

According to the latest numbers, Horwath is polling at 36.5 per cent, followed by Keanin Loomis (28.7), Bob Bratina (12.1), and Jimmy Kimmel’s favourite candidate, Ejaz Butt (2.8 per cent).

However, 20 per cent of respondents told Mainstreet Research they were undecided, leaving a lot of votes unaccounted for.

Broken down by gender, Horwath is still the favourite, although the margin closes considerably in Loomis’ favour among males. Horwath’s lead shrinks to just 0.5 per cent among decided males over Loomis, but balloons to 14.2 per cent among females.

But again, undecided voters could be the difference.

Only 13.3 per cent of male voters are undecided compared to 25.2 per cent of females.

According to the Mainstreet Research poll, younger voters are heavily skewed towards Horwath at 42.2 per cent, while the highest earners prefer Loomis. The former Hamilton Chamber of Commerce president and CEO is polling at 41.1 per cent among those earning more than $100,000 per year.

Interestingly, the numbers are flipped among decided voters earning between $75,000 and $100,000.

Horwath is also polling more favourably among lower-income groups.

[StEC]

I'm in Ward 2 - Keanin Loomis and Cameron Kroetsch have my vote!

Andrea wining wouldn't be the worst thing in the world but she doesn't deserve the mayors seat as a consolidation prize, she was elected to be our MPP and should have fulfilled her duties. I voted for her in the provincial election and she lost my vote for good when she quit to run for mayor.

[matt602]

Ward 4, pretty sure Horwath will get a reluctant vote from me since Loomis has turned me off lately. For councilor I'm kinda torn between Tammy Hwang and Eric Tuck. They're both progressives who have said good things in regards to safer streets, public transit investment, housing affordability and combating homelessness/addictions issues though I've noticed Tuck seems to have more signs around the neighborhood so my vote might go his way. I also kinda like how deeply involved he is with the local transit union and how he'll be pushing for HSR to operate the LRT. Mostly just glad it isn't gonna be Merulla again for the next 4 years.

[TheRitsman]

Originally Posted by matt602

Ward 4, pretty sure Horwath will get a reluctant vote from me since Loomis has turned me off lately. For councilor I'm kinda torn between Tammy Hwang and Eric Tuck. They're both progressives who have said good things in regards to safer streets, public transit investment, housing affordability and combating homelessness/addictions issues though I've noticed Tuck seems to have more signs around the neighborhood so my vote might go his way. I also kinda like how deeply involved he is with the local transit union and how he'll be pushing for HSR to operate the LRT. Mostly just glad it isn't gonna be Merulla again for the next 4 years.

How has it been feeling for Pascale? She's a colleague and friend, and so I'm supportive of her but also think she would be great. Just curious what the vibe you're feeling for who might win.

I'm supporting Cameron in Ward 2 as well. Some may worry he isn't as supportive for development, but if you talk to him he absolutely is, but he wants less false starts like Connolly and Jamesville Lofts, and wants to ensure that we're getting benefits like a grocer on the first floor of Corktown plaza redevelopment. Jason just rolls in the red carpet and doesn't actually fight for better development.

[TheHonestMaple]

Originally Posted by TheRitsman

How has it been feeling for Pascale? She's a colleague and friend, and so I'm supportive of her but also think she would be great. Just curious what the vibe you're feeling for who might win.

I'm supporting Cameron in Ward 2 as well. Some may worry he isn't as supportive for development, but if you talk to him he absolutely is, but he wants less false starts like Connolly and Jamesville Lofts, and wants to ensure that we're getting benefits like a grocer on the first floor of Corktown plaza redevelopment. Jason just rolls in the red carpet and doesn't actually fight for better development.

Do you have any examples of how Jason doesn't fight for better development?

I think all these progressive candidates are going to be in for a bit of a surprise. Look what happened to Vancouver this week. I think Nann will likely lose her seat at council, with Furlan having massive support for his tough on crime stance. And I doubt Cameron will beat Farr. He's just a bit too progressive for most people, and his stance on defund the police and the encampments rub a lot of people the wrong way.

[TheRitsman]

Originally Posted by TheHonestMaple

Do you have any examples of how Jason doesn't fight for better development?

I think all these progressive candidates are going to be in for a bit of a surprise. Look what happened to Vancouver this week. I think Nann will likely lose her seat at council, with Furlan having massive support for his tough on crime stance. And I doubt Cameron will beat Farr. He's just a bit too progressive for most people, and his stance on defund the police and the encampments rub a lot of people the wrong way.

I don't think there's a chance Furlan unseats Nann. He's got a loud minority of people voting for him, but majority of Ward 3 are going to support Nann or Farr, with Nann getting the incumbency effect.

I do really like Beattie in Ward 10. Really nice guy. I don't think maria is actually terrible, just mediocre at worst, and maybe apathetic.

[TheHonestMaple]

Originally Posted by TheRitsman

I don't think there's a chance Furlan unseats Nann. He's got a loud minority of people voting for him, but majority of Ward 3 are going to support Nann or Farr, with Nann getting the incumbency effect.

I do really like Beattie in Ward 10. Really nice guy. I don't think maria is actually terrible, just mediocre at worst, and maybe apathetic.

Seems to me that Furlan signs are 10:1 to Nann's just driving around. And her performance at the debate was quite poor. She resorted to mud slinging, while Furlan kept it composed and on topic. I predict a tight race, but Furlan takes it. Most people are just too fed up with the activism and general deterioration of the ward. Ward 3 Farr will be irrelevant with under 5% of the vote.

[matt602]

Originally Posted by TheRitsman

How has it been feeling for Pascale? She's a colleague and friend, and so I'm supportive of her but also think she would be great. Just curious what the vibe you're feeling for who might win.

She'd be my next choice, I liked her in the debate as well. tbh the only 2 people I absolutely would not vote for are Olfield for his "I think the RHVP could use more lanes" and Johnstone for her bad history as a trustee. All the rest of the candidates more or less aligned with my concerns. Seems like ward 4 is pretty much anyone's race to win since theres so many in the running.

[Innsertnamehere]

I’m in Ward 10 and am going with Jeff Beattie and Loomis. Pearson’s hilariously terrible. Beattie seems to have a lot of heart and care for the community, even if he is capitalizing on NIMBYism against those mega towers proposed on the waterfront.

[TheRitsman]

Signs don't mean votes, and I've heard a lot of signs that are up aren't requested. There a lot of apartments in Ward 3. Even canvassing with Cameron, we spoke to numerous people that said they didn't ask for a Farr sign. Signs are used by desperate people to make themselves look bigger than the are. Recall Vito for mayor last election. He had a ton of signs and yet Fred destroyed him.

[TheHonestMaple]

Originally Posted by TheRitsman

Signs don't mean votes, and I've heard a lot of signs that are up aren't requested. There a lot of apartments in Ward 3. Even canvassing with Cameron, we spoke to numerous people that said they didn't ask for a Farr sign. Signs are used by desperate people to make themselves look bigger than the are. Recall Vito for mayor last election. He had a ton of signs and yet Fred destroyed him.

I guess we'll see on election day . I predict Jason Farr and Furlan sweep.

[TheRitsman]

Originally Posted by TheHonestMaple

I guess we'll see on election day . I predict Jason Farr and Furlan sweep.

Cameron came pretty close last time and wasn't as organized as this time. His campaign has been incredibly organized. We had an election day training with 15 people and tlwas a second training day.

[SteelTown]

I haven't gotten a clue who to vote for this election in Ward 14. You know the ward that's sandwiched between ward 8 and 12 I usually always vote for whoever is Whitehead's strongest opponent. This year it's a wide-open race with a lot of candidates. The only name that I do recognize is Don Ross.

[ShavedParmesanCheese]

Originally Posted by SteelTown

I haven't gotten a clue who to vote for this election in Ward 14. You know the ward that's sandwiched between ward 8 and 12 I usually always vote for whoever is Whitehead's strongest opponent. This year it's a wide-open race with a lot of candidates. The only name that I do recognize is Don Ross.

I've been seeing quite a bit from Kojo Damptey, though since he's not in my ward, I haven't read into what he's about. Seems to be running a good campaign at least.

As for Mayor, as squeaky-clean as Loomis' campaign has been, it's the ideas he's had most recently that's shattered the image to me. I cannot get behind a candidate who had an interest in privatizing CityHousing and who promised not to touch area rating. Not to mention how he previously favoured the expansion of the urban boundary, but doesn't now that the opinion is firmly the other way. Small wonder from the ex-CEO of the Chamber of Commerce...

[StEC]

Originally Posted by SteelTown

I haven't gotten a clue who to vote for this election in Ward 14. You know the ward that's sandwiched between ward 8 and 12 I usually always vote for whoever is Whitehead's strongest opponent. This year it's a wide-open race with a lot of candidates. The only name that I do recognize is Don Ross.

Please look over Kojo's platform, he is stand up citizen running an excellent campaign. He was the one who has sadly been targeted by a group of white supremacists.

[Innsertnamehere]

All mayoral candidates support the RHVP widening by the way, and that issue will likely become larger this term as the EA for it is underway. I wouldn’t be surprised if the city is trolling for funding for it from upper level governments in 2-3 years.

[TheHonestMaple]

Really hoping for a Jason Farr and Furlan alliance at City Hall.

[Innsertnamehere]

Today is going to be interesting. Polls seem to show Loomis and Horwath very close, so we'll have to see what happens. If I was a betting man, which I'm not, I'd probably bet on Horwath despite voting for Loomis, but we'll have to see.

The council races will be interesting as well. I'd be surprised if Nann or Farr lose. Wards 5, 10, and 14 are more interesting to me, 5 and 14 because they have an insane list of candidates with no incumbent, and 10 because it's an incumbent councillor running again with a real chance of actually losing based on the previous election results.

[drpgq]

Incumbents are hard to beat so Nann has that going for her, but there's a lot of motivated people in ward 3 in what is usually a low turnout ward. Initially I was surprised that Furlan ran considering Farr was running again, but he ran a strong campaign.