Hamilton Population 2020?

[BCTed]

Originally Posted by ScreamingViking

https://data.ontario.ca/dataset/popu...5-0d93f4bb9f45

The Ministry of Finance has updated population projections to 2051. The Census Division that aligns with Hamilton is now projected to have more than 903,000 people.

The city has been in a tizzy thinking about where to put the 820,000 from the older forecast. So what's another 83,000?

IF this comes to pass, the CMA will have well over a million people, even if Burlington doesn't grow very much, though Halton is projected to grow to nearly a million people itself (probably mostly in Milton, and Oakville still has land to develop; Burlington will largely need to rely on intensification and an acceptance of it)

Note: MOF's 2023 estimate for the city is above 615,000... and we all know projections have been wrong in the past, but still, I think we can expect a big wave of growth given the trends in the region. Waterloo is forecast to be 1.077 million, Middlesex (London) 883,000. There's going to be a need for a lot of infrastructure improvement in Ontario's southwest, particularly in transportation and water/sewers.

I find the provincial census divisions confusing --- Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa are all represented as city populations, while Waterloo is region, and Middlesex is county.

Out of those selected census divisions, they have:
- Ottawa growing by 60% from 2023 to 2051 (1.11 million to 1.79 million)
- Waterloo growing by 60% (675k to 1.08 million)
- Middlesex growing by 57% (564k to 883k)
- Hamilton growing by 47% (615k to 903k)
- Toronto growing by 35% (3.11 million to 4.19 million)

[ScreamingViking]

Originally Posted by BCTed

I find the provincial census divisions confusing --- Hamilton, Toronto, Ottawa are all represented as city populations, while Waterloo is region, and Middlesex is county.

In the case of Hamilton the Census Division is a legacy from when it matched Hamilton-Wentworth Region, pre-amalgamation. I think I recall the individual municipalities that comprised H-W each being Census Subdivisions, when I worked with that data during university (pre-internet, mind you... I had to go to the library to get the data and enter it into Quattro Pro and the GIS application manually!). Then eventually amalgamation made the city line up with the Statistics Canada CD.

I think it was the same for Toronto, and probably Ottawa too.

Region vs. county are just a different type of administration, but basically the same thing when it comes to boundaries. London has, over time, annexed a large chunk of Middlesex and at some point I could see the city swallowing the county and having the same boundary (though Middlesex is HUGE, so maybe that's a far off idea). Waterloo Region, comprising Kitchener, Waterloo, and Cambridge plus some townships may never be a single-tier municipality, though I guess the townships could be amalgamated with the tri-cities. I don't know if there's a case nor appetite for that... probably not, after the experiences elsewhere.

Where it gets even more interesting is where current CDs are split to create CMAs - e.g., Hamilton getting chunks of Halton (Burlington) and Niagara (Grimsby). I believe London includes St. Thomas from the CD to the south. Waterloo Region may be analogous to the Kitchener-Cambridge-Waterloo CMA. These projections don't get that granular, but I imagine city planners break things down further based on what's developed within a boundary and what is not.

CMA maps can be found and downloaded as PDFs here: https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-r...ng.cfm?year=21