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  #11641  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 4:20 AM
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Originally Posted by Bcasey25raptor View Post
Glad to see BC and manitoba still identify strongly with Canada.

The bloc albertois really proving every day they'd be better off as americans
Ask the same people 'Do you support the Canadian Olympic team?' and watch it all be the same shade.
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  #11642  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 11:47 AM
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Originally Posted by acottawa View Post
You could check out this paper from the IMF

Distributional Impacts of Heterogenous Carbon Prices in the EU

https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/...-the-EU-551414

We analyse the consequences of carbon price heterogeneity on households in The EU from 2010 to 2020. Accounting for both heterogeneity in carbon pricing across emission sources and the indirect effects from inter-industry linkages, we obtain two key findings. First, due to widespread carbon pricing exemptions, household burdens are lower than previously estimated. Second, lower-income groups are affected disproportionately, because they spend a smaller share of their expenditure on products that benefit from exemptions than their higher-income counterparts….
"Lower than previously estimated" =\= "barely trickles down to consumers in the EU"

Your partisanship is really overriding your normally very disciplined factual instincts.



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Originally Posted by acottawa View Post
It is quite clear we aren’t meeting any of our emissions targets. Certainly if the Liberals were serious about meeting these targets they wouldn’t have relocated 5 million humans from places with mostly low emissions per capita to a country with very high emissions per capita.

You can always tell when a government is serious about something because they will hurt their own supporters to address a problem (Chrétien cutting EI, for example). The Liberals are bravely taxing Tory supporters to redistribute to Liberal supporters.
Any carbon pricing scheme will disproportionately charge those who consume carbon more. And that will always be disproportionately Conservatives. Can you think of a way to reduce emissions that actually charges less to those who consume more, that would not then drive an increase in emissions (Jevon's Paradox).

As for immigration and emissions. Given that very few First Worlders are interested in moving to Canada, your prescription is basically the inverse of the Liberals here. Instead of their ridiculous growth, we'd have your ridiculous decline. After all, as one of the highest per capita emitting countries in the world, there's only 12 countries ahead of us that we could theoretically get immigrants from and lower emissions. And I doubt Canadians will be more pleased when we switch out Indians for mostly Gulf Arabs.

And again, criticism of the Liberal plan isn't an alternative. That's what I asked for. You're great at whining about the Liberals. That's not original. Plenty of that on here. Do you have actual ideas for a real emissions reduction strategy? Or do you think we should just drop the whole idea? At least be honest instead of deflecting and evasive. It's not that I think the Liberal strategy was great. There's plenty of flaws. But I can distinguish between criticizing the Liberals, criticizing the ideas (market based mechanisms) and criticizing the concept (reducing emissions). You seem intent on throwing out the baby with the bath water in a partisan rage.
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  #11643  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 1:58 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post

Any carbon pricing scheme will disproportionately charge those who consume carbon more. And that will always be disproportionately Conservatives. Can you think of a way to reduce emissions that actually charges less to those who consume more, that would not then drive an increase in emissions (Jevon's Paradox).

As for immigration and emissions. Given that very few First Worlders are interested in moving to Canada, your prescription is basically the inverse of the Liberals here. Instead of their ridiculous growth, we'd have your ridiculous decline. After all, as one of the highest per capita emitting countries in the world, there's only 12 countries ahead of us that we could theoretically get immigrants from and lower emissions. And I doubt Canadians will be more pleased when we switch out Indians for mostly Gulf Arabs.

And again, criticism of the Liberal plan isn't an alternative. That's what I asked for. You're great at whining about the Liberals. That's not original. Plenty of that on here. Do you have actual ideas for a real emissions reduction strategy? Or do you think we should just drop the whole idea? At least be honest instead of deflecting and evasive. It's not that I think the Liberal strategy was great. There's plenty of flaws. But I can distinguish between criticizing the Liberals, criticizing the ideas (market based mechanisms) and criticizing the concept (reducing emissions). You seem intent on throwing out the baby with the bath water in a partisan rage.
To the extent to which you believe that a country with 1% of the world’s emissions has a tangible effect on climate change then there is little point in trying to have a rational discussion.

1) Climate change is happening regardless of what Canada does. There is a reasonable argument that Canada could be a part of a global solution, but that is simply not happening. The world’s 8 largest emitters (China, US, India, Russia, Japan, Indonesia, Iran and Saudi Arabia) are doing little or nothing to reduce emissions.

2) Even if the Liberals believed Canada’s emissions were somehow significant, the Liberals have exempted major emissions from their supporters. Flights are exempt from carbon taxes (which is the major source of consumer emissions from the Liberals affluent urban supporters). They also exempted heating fuel in Atlantic Canada (the only place Liberals have rural support). These are not the actions of a government that is serious about climate change and a sign of a government that uses carbon prices to settle political scores. It is very Trumpian actually.

3) Furthermore, if the Liberals actually believed their rhetoric on climate change, they certainly would not have brought in 5 million immigrants. They would have allowed Uber prices to rise (which also would have reduced emissions).
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  #11644  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 2:08 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
"Lower than previously estimated" =\= "barely trickles down to consumers in the EU"
Did you even open the link?

Our incidence calculations for the EU in 2020 show that average price paid for carbon across all emission sources were around 11.35 USD, which was 60% lower than the EU ETS price of that year (28.22 USD). The difference between this average price paid for carbon and the EU ETS price is due to incomplete carbon price coverage in the value chains behind the products that EU consumers buy.

I think $11/tonne is reasonably summarized as “barely trickles down.” That is exactly half of what Canadians were paying in 2020.
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  #11645  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 2:18 PM
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Originally Posted by acottawa View Post
To the extent to which you believe that a country with 1% of the world’s emissions has a tangible effect on climate change then there is little point in trying to have a rational discussion.
Will respond more later. Just want to point out how ignorant this "only 1%" argument is. You should add up all the countries with emissions less than 1% and see what they are in aggregate.

Also, it's kinda like saying it's okay if you take a piss in the pool. You're only one person out of a hundred right? And of course, if everybody else takes the same approach....
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  #11646  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 2:37 PM
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And if all these LPC CC policies actually made a meaningful impact to reduce emissions your argument would have a leg to stand on.

LPC brought in millions of immigrants and they decided to make EVs more expensive. Neither of these helps reduce emissions.

US and Australia have now caught up to us in emissions/capita after decades of emitting more. They don't have a carbon tax.
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  #11647  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 2:53 PM
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Originally Posted by acottawa View Post
2) Even if the Liberals believed Canada’s emissions were somehow significant, the Liberals have exempted major emissions from their supporters. Flights are exempt from carbon taxes (which is the major source of consumer emissions from the Liberals affluent urban supporters). They also exempted heating fuel in Atlantic Canada (the only place Liberals have rural support). These are not the actions of a government that is serious about climate change and a sign of a government that uses carbon prices to settle political scores. It is very Trumpian actually.
This is the most significant/important criticism IMO. The whole point of the market mechanism embodied in the carbon tax (which as a small -c conservative I inherently support) is to let the market do its magic.

But the political fiddling undermines the whole case.

I have an uncle who has pointed out the flight thing before. He ranted that the carbon tax has made rural Canadian recreational activities (like hunting, ATVing, boating, etc) more expensive but hasn't made international flights (generally what left-leaning urbanites do with their vacations) more expensive despite the latter having a higher carbon footprint.
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  #11648  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 3:22 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Will respond more later. Just want to point out how ignorant this "only 1%" argument is. You should add up all the countries with emissions less than 1% and see what they are in aggregate.

Also, it's kinda like saying it's okay if you take a piss in the pool. You're only one person out of a hundred right? And of course, if everybody else takes the same approach....
But Canada would be like a baby peeing in the pool, unlike China and India who would be more like three hundred pound men who’ve had a dozen beers and more than a few sprigs of asparagus.
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  #11649  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 3:50 PM
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But Canada would be like a baby peeing in the pool, unlike China and India who would be more like three hundred pound men who’ve had a dozen beers and more than a few sprigs of asparagus.
The forest fires last season equalled India’s emissions. So no, we’re not 1%.
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  #11650  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 4:10 PM
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Originally Posted by O-tacular View Post
The forest fires last season equalled India’s emissions. So no, we’re not 1%.
lol. That’s cute. Do you think India and China don’t have forest fires?

https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/featur...-amid-heatwave

And seriously forest and grass fires are naturally occurring part of a healthy ecosystem. If Canada is worried about it’s forests it needs to invest in forestry management. WHICH IT DOES NOT.
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  #11651  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 4:29 PM
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But Canada would be like a baby peeing in the pool, unlike China and India who would be more like three hundred pound men who’ve had a dozen beers and more than a few sprigs of asparagus.
Exactly and actually we are a baby who doesn't spend much time in the pool so the adults (In this analogy countries that suffer a lot more from warming) ignoring the problem because they have to drink more water than us (are less developed) means the pool will be full of pee so let's drink our water and grow larger so we can help bail out the pool later. (ok analogy getting a bit stretched)

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Originally Posted by O-tacular View Post
The forest fires last season equalled India’s emissions. So no, we’re not 1%.
Yes but the new forest that takes it's place will absorb an equal amount of over the next 50 years. Ideally a mix of trees more suited to current climate realities.
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  #11652  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 4:34 PM
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Because as we all know the carbon tax helps reduce forest fires.
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  #11653  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 4:55 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Will respond more later. Just want to point out how ignorant this "only 1%" argument is. You should add up all the countries with emissions less than 1% and see what they are in aggregate.

Also, it's kinda like saying it's okay if you take a piss in the pool. You're only one person out of a hundred right? And of course, if everybody else takes the same approach....
Canada and the 190 or so countries outside the top 10 is about 30 percent of emissions (less than China’s 32%) and the vast majority of those 190 countries aren’t reducing emissions either.

If you’re taking a piss in the pool and your neighbour from China is dumping a tanker truck full of piss in the pool, it doesn’t really matter whether you pissed in it or not, nobody is going to swim in it.
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  #11654  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 4:57 PM
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The forest fires last season equalled India’s emissions. So no, we’re not 1%.
Yet no effort is being put into reducing forest fires.
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  #11655  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 5:37 PM
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Originally Posted by harls View Post
Ask the same people 'Do you support the Canadian Olympic team?' and watch it all be the same shade.
what would New Brisavoine say? You'd have to first identify which province the Canadian athletes hail from, to see which ones are punching above/below their weight....

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  #11656  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 5:38 PM
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Canada has a terrible record. Worse than Saudi Arabia.


We are the environmental sloths. Not India.
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  #11657  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 5:43 PM
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Canadian Climate Change Deniers: “Our emissions don’t matter cause they’re low and the Boreal Forest is a carbon sink.”

Annual forest fires choke North America with smoke and the forests emit more than they store. Canada becomes 5th largest emitter on earth.

Canadian Climate Change Deniers: “It’s natural and the forest will regrow. Plus India has forest fires too.”

The goal posts keep shifting. First Climate Change wasn’t real. Then it became real but a naturally occurring cycle. Then it became human caused but 100% China and India’s fault. What’s next? You guys are running out of time and ammo.

I live on the front lines both in terms of the oilsands’ massive emissions and in terms of choking on wildfire smoke every spring and summer. Jasper just burnt down. Next up could be Banff or Canmore. Fort Mac was almost a decade ago. Get with the program!
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  #11658  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 5:50 PM
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Yet no effort is being put into reducing forest fires.
You’re right the UCP cut early fire detection and reduced the budget for fighting forest fires this season right before Jasper burnt to the ground. Provincial governments just rely on the military for aid. What will PeePee and the CPC do to fund it?
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  #11659  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 6:01 PM
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Yet no effort is being put into reducing forest fires.
We should just chop down all the forests.
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  #11660  
Old Posted Sep 8, 2024, 6:08 PM
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Originally Posted by MolsonExport View Post
Canada has a terrible record. Worse than Saudi Arabia.


We are the environmental sloths. Not India.
This doesn't explain why we need the carbon tax though.
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