I'm doing some analysis on the BART ridership levels at work and it just saddens me that we are seeing a downward trend. I was really expecting the ridership levels to rise due to the opening of Warm Springs, Pittsburgh Center and Antioch stations over the recent years.
Total Annual Ridership Levels:
Quote:
FY10 101,003,814
FY11 103,713,503 - 3.07% Increase YoY
FY12 110,776,960 - 6.17% Increase YoY
FY13 117,815,050 - 7.02% Increase YoY
FY14 117,073,699 - (-1.75%) Decrease YoY
FY15 125,979,396 - 6.01% Increase YoY
FY16 128,523,988 - 2.43% Increase YoY
FY17 124,171,100 - (-2.31%) Decrease
FY18 120,554,337 - (-2.18%) Decrease
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Most notably there was a 20.7% DECREASE in ridership levels in Fremont. This is most likely due to the opening of Warm Springs. Below are their ridership levels over the years, to see how much of an effect it's taking in the South Bay.
Quote:
Fremont:
2016 - 9,284
2017 - 8,663
2018 - 6,872
Q1 2018 - 7,120
Q2 2018 - 6,826
Q1 2019 - 6,813
Q2 2019 - 5,949
Warm Springs:
2016 - 0
2017 - 760
2018 - 3,152
Q1 2018 - 3,061
Q2 2018 - 3,086
Q1 2019 - 3,508 (14.6% Increase YoY)
Q2 2019 - 4,056 (31.4% Increase YoY)
Combined:
2016: 9,284
2017: 9,423
2018: 10,024
Q1 2018: 10,181
Q2 2018: 9,912
Q1 2019: 10,321
Q2 2019: 10,005
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As you can see above, ridership levels in the South Bay has been rising. This results in less cars driving from the South Bay to San Francisco. Since 2016, we are seeing an increase of ~720 riders in this area of the Bay Area. Even looking at the quarter data, we are seeing an upward trend, which I hope continues.
This also helps relieves the Fremont Bart station as it was known to be a traffic/parking nightmare before the opening of Warm Springs.
I believe that ridership levels should maintain a bit in Warm Springs, even with the opening of Milpitas and Berryessa Stations due to the new residential units next to the station. (I should have pictures posted soon).
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The next huge decrease in ridership levels is Berkeley, having 1k less than the previous year. (a -6.7% decrease)
The only stations that have been seeing an increase from 2017 to 2018 are as follows:
Quote:
South Hayward
Montgomery Street
Pleasant Hill
West Dublin
Dublin / Pleasanton
Daly City
Warm Springs
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Finally, I wanted to see the effect of the Pittsburg Center and Antioch stations
Quote:
Pittsburg/BayPoint:
Q1 2018: 6,580
Q2 2018: 6,642
Q1 2019: 3,970
Q2 2019: 3,929
Pittsburg Center + Antioch Combined:
Q1 2019: 3,766
Q2 2019: 3,944
All 3 stations:
Q1 2019: 7,736
Q2 2019: 7,873
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I would conclude that the Pittsburg Center and Antioch stations are a major win for BART and Bay Area commute. There are about 1,200 more people taking BART YoY in this area, quite possibly removing ~800 cars from the road and relieving parking spaces in the Pittsburg/Bay Point station.
Well that was fun lol. Let me know if you guys want me to look into more data from BART.
Source of information:
https://www.bart.gov/about/reports/ridership