Posted Oct 26, 2021, 9:36 PM
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Registered User
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Join Date: Dec 2017
Posts: 216
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I'd wager that the owner(s) know they're sitting on prime real estate and are waiting to get an opportunity to maximize the site potential, whether It's one site or two. In the event that it is split and a potential developer can only acquire one half, then even better. It'll apply pressure to the other owner/developer, who will likely respond in kind with something impressive as well to not be outdone.
The longer this sits, the better IMO. I imagine this sea of parking will follow the sequence of the Toronto waterfront, where the tallest projects are being built now, two decades after waterfront rejuvenation began. And, the longer this site stays vacant, the better the odds big $ developers pick it up too.
I do think that these lots, along with a few others across downtown, are just waiting for others to test and break the 30-floor limit in a meaningful way so they can build taller. Considering where we are seeing proposals and construction lately, I have a feeling developers just don't want to do the heavy lifting of fighting council themselves and would rather have someone like Vranich do it first. Sites I think people are just waiting to scoop up and go all-in on would include:
-This parking lot
-John/Main st. E (things have changed a lot since the last proposal here...)
-Bowen/Main st. E (directly next to the above lot, has the Coco's bubble tea spot)
-King/Bay st. S (there's a few lots adjacent depending on what you look at here)
And there's a whole host more of prime parking lots downtown sandwiched between our tallest buildings. At this point, I'm quite convinced the only reason they aren't getting developed is because building them up would be an all-or-nothing scenario. Developers might look at these lots and decide that 'only' 30 floors isn't enough to become profitable or is just a waste of time. Realistically there are a whole host of lots that can host at least 40-floor buildings downtown, if not 50, without a significant impact on traffic or whatever the city's concerns are besides the escarpment height. The LRT, two GO stations, and decent walkability should guarantee that residents/workers in such locations would be pedestrians with minimal need for auto commutes. We aren't even seeing those prime lots get considered, but luckily that will probably change soon as pressure continues to come from the GTA and transit continues to improve here. It's already starting with the 40+38 floor proposal behind Landmark Place, and with precedents like that on the way, the city will be forced to allow taller buildings, even if that means the province has to step in.
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