Quote:
Originally Posted by Yuri
The United States just released the stats regarding births and deaths for 2023: 3,588,013 births, lowest number since 1979, when the population was smaller by 110 million people. Deaths declined (3,065,607), the first year without Covid impacting, but they're above 2019.
In 2007, the US registered 4,316,234 births and 2,423,712 deaths for a natural growth of 1,892,552. In 2019, this number declined to mere 892,000 and plunged to 200,000 in 2021 during the massive number of deaths due Covid. And now it's at 522,000.
The US will probably post negative natural growth within 3-4 years. France might get there in 2024 already. Britain too. Then, only a handful developed countries will be left with positive natural growth, but barely, relying on massive immigration to keep up: Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Ireland and maybe Switzerland, Sweden and Norway.
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There were some minor updates for
2023 numbers:
3,591,328 births and 3,087,366 deaths in the US, for a 507,932 natural growth.
Figures for
Jan-Apr 2024 have already been released and it seems there will be a small increase in births and decrease in deaths:
Births Jan-Apr 2023: 1,148,294
Deaths Jan-Apr 2023: 1,057,910
Births Jan-Apr 2024: 1,161,693
Deaths Jan-Apr 2024: 1,048,417
Increase Jan-Apr 2023: +90,384
Increase Jan-Apr 2024: +113,276
Births will probably be above 3.6 million again in 2024, but still below 2022 levels, the 2nd lowest number just behind 2023 itself. Deaths will be the same and I'd guess a natural growth just below 600,000. Fertility rate slightly above 2023 levels, at
1.62-1.63 children per women.
More:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demogr..._United_States