Quote:
Originally Posted by makr3trkr
If traffic is modestly decreasing year over year at the tunnel, some of that is almost certainly due to people avoiding the crossing because of the congestion in the first place.
|
Well of course. People "pay" to use the tunnel with their time. If a higher capacity replacement bridge is tolled, then some people will avoid it (or be more selective about their trips) because of the explicit cost instead. If nothing else, the declining traffic on the uncongested, higher-capacity but tolled Port Mann has demonstrated that people are no more willing to pay cash to cross the bridge than they are to waste their time in a lineup.
Therefore, one has to ask the question: why bother spending all the money to build new crossings with more lanes when tolls on the existing infrastructure can pretty much do the same thing and actually produce a net revenue stream at the same time?
Of course it's political suicide to impose a toll out of the blue. Spending a billion or so on a new bridge provides a convenient excuse to impose tolls, although it's not necessarily the best use of the money.
Of course the Massey Tunnel is a bit different than the Port Mann because (like the Patullo) it's near end-of-life and so something has to be done anyway. But if nothing else the Port Mann and Golden Ears bridges should teach us that (a) the traffic forecasters are not to be believed and therefore (b) 10 lanes is way overkill.