Summary of Signatory Lease Commitments:- WN = 18
- DL = 15
- AA = 9
- UA = 5
- AS = 1
Source:
https://www.austintexas.gov/news/aus...ansion-program
Estimated Terminal Gate Space at Initial Build-Out:- Concourse A = 36
- Concourse B = 26
Re: Concourse A. Let's assume West Gate Expansion adds what we'll call Gates 37-39, i.e., publicly advertised as a net increase of 3 gates. And we'll ignore Gate 13 since it functions solely as a hold room for busing to remote stands and/or Concourse M. Moreover, let's also assume that the tunnel interface will remove existing Gates 18-20 from service as somewhat indicated in the concept drawing.
Concourse A Gates: (using adaptation of current gate numbering visible using this tool:
https://airportmaps.flyaustin.com/)
- 1-8: CUTE & International Ops
- 9-12: DL
- 14-17: DL (displaces WN)
- 21-24: DL (displaces WN)
- 25 & 27: DL (displaces UA)
- 26: DL (displaces AA)
- 28: AS (displaces AA)
- 29: CUTE Domestic Ops (displaces UA)
- 30: CUTE Domestic Ops (displaces AA)
- 31-39: AA
DL has been described as the "anchor tenant" to Concourse A, and their front-and-center positioning appears to fit their strategy to appeal to premium AUS O&D traffic.
AA will obviously anchor the Concourse A west gates. I don't think AA can take all 9 gates right after the West Gate Expansion opens while Concourse B is not yet built, but it seems reasonable that they'll effectively shift to the west and build back east. IMO, you could arrange Gates 28-30 to whomever you want, although I suspect that AS may want to be close to AA for their OneWorld alliance.
Concourse B Gates: (generally divided into 4 "east gates" & 22 "west gates")
- 4 East Gates = 1 UA + 3 CUTE Domestic Ops
- 22 West Gates = 4 UA + 18 WN
UA's commitment to 5 gates seems hard to distribute within the Concourse B layout at first, but I think the split across the tunnel interface presents an opportunity that I'll get to below.
Undoubtedly, being closer to landside facilities would be WN's preference, but as some of their other operations indicate, e.g., DEN's farthest Concourse C, east end of ORD Terminal 5, etc., they seem to prefer having as many gates as possible if presented an either-or choice. Moreover, UA appeals to many of the same types of traffic that DL does, so being located at the far west end of B doesn't seem likely. In this speculation mode, however, there is a universe where that happens and WN's gates are clustered more to the east.
Wildcard Consideration - Lounge Locations:
The identification of lounge locations several months ago created some interesting opportunities to accommodate gate locations, and some of them appear more obvious now. Using the map extracted from
View from the Wing's comprehensive coverage...
Here are the lounge locations described by AUS staff and subsequent predictions:
- West Gates Expansion Lounge Area: relocated Admiral's Club lounge (publicly confirmed by AA)
- Area Above Concourse A Tunnel Portal: described as an airline space, this has a relocated DL SkyClub written all over it with potential Delta One access to Gates 16, 17, 21 & 22
- Area Above Concourse B Tunnel Portal: also described as an airline space, I think this is tied to WN or UA gate location. As mentioned above, if UA "splits" their operation across the portal, I think UA wants to be here and offer a similar lounge-to-plane access to at least 2 gates (i.e., east and west of the portal). If WN abuts the portal, I think they put a flagship lounge here.
- Area Above New BJT West Infill: described as a financial institution lease space, this could go to any one of Chase, Capital One, or AmEx in that order of likelihood. Chase's relationship with current nearby UA and WN gates seems to put them in the lead, but none of these three would surprise me.
- Existing AA/UA/DL spaces: described to be "common use" spaces in the future, I think the space for the existing - and very small - AA and UA lounges gets rebuilt as one while the DL lounge gets refurbished as the other. If Chase gets Area 4, then converting the current DL SkyClub to an AmEx Centurion lounge makes a lot of sense to appeal to their international traveling card holders. Which leaves Capital One or a wildcard to get that combined UA/AA space.
I'm not sure why the upper floor area towards the east end was not identified as a potential lounge space, which currently seems very underutilized.
Some final thoughts as I've processed the announcement this week:
- If these locations are more right than wrong, DL has positioned themselves quite close to CUTE gates as a means for future flexible growth.
- If WN occupies the eastern gates of Concourse B, they're in the driver's seat for easiest operational expansion in the future. If WN is on the west end, the door is open for DL to build out the remainder of Concourse B in some long-term future phase (I posted about this similar structure to SLC earlier).
- Hard to see how Concourse M can work by busing people from Gate 13, which had otherwise been built to facilitate the remote stands on the east side of the ramp. Perhaps there's another closer shuttle option (e.g., south face of Concourse B tunnel interface building?) that could be developed?