The real confounding aspect of this election is that "yes" or "no" mean the opposite of what some people will expect. Voters who don't read the entire ballot language but simply hear that this is a vote on light rail may assume that "yes" means more trains and "no" means the opposite.
Jessica Boehm of the Republic tweeted about that aspect this morning with a link to an article:
https://twitter.com/jboehm_NEWS/stat...704628224?s=20
Confusion will work in both directions. I'm cautiously hoping, though, that it will help with the "no" vote more than the "yes" vote for two reasons:
1) I think those who support light rail may be more civically engaged and more attuned to the nuances of city elections.
2) When voters are confused about a ballot proposition, they are more likely to vote "no" based on the idea that it's better to stick with the status quo than change things in ways they don't understand.
Will these factors be enough? I have no idea. I think it's going to be close no matter what the outcome.