I recently got a email from the development office of the four seasons talking about the downtown austin market and specifically the sales of the building and its main 2 competitors. I figured I'd share.
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There has been a lot of speculation that the Downtown Austin Condominium Market is overbuilt. The facts and figures do not appear to support this. Currently, there are three luxury condominium towers under construction in the Austin CBD totaling 491 units: Four Seasons Residences, The Austonian and W Austin Hotel and Residences.
491 units x 38% sold (under contract) = 186 units sold which leaves a balance of 305 units to sell. It’s also important to note that the completion of construction of the three projects is staggered over a two year period. Each project has underwritten approximately a two to three year sellout AFTER completion of construction.
In 2008 alone, the Austin CBD absorbed nearly 600 condominiums. With approximately 300 units left to sell over the next three to four years (say 100 units per year), if future demand is even a fraction of past performance it may be reasonable to conclude that the Downtown Austin Condominium Market is in fact not overbuilt and residences currently under construction will be absorbed in an orderly fashion.
It is also worth noting that there are no new high rise condominium projects slated to start construction for the next three to five years, primarily because construction lending for new condominium projects is difficult to obtain.
There seems to be a lot of misinformation in the marketplace, we think primarily because these buildings are so visible on the Austin skyline. The general consensus of the public is that Downtown has a supply of 2,000 to 5,000 units coming on line. The facts presented above don’t support this. Most of the buildings you see are either rental or condominium projects that are sold out. Since 2001, nearly 1,550 condominium units were delivered to the Downtown market. To date, nearly 95% of those units are sold/closed.
Additionally, lower to moderate priced projects and re-sales in and around downtown account for another +/- 500 units, but again they are primarily low rise, lower priced projects targeted to a broader segment of the market.
If we can answer any questions or provide further information, please let us know. We look forward to visiting with you soon."