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Originally Posted by freerover
I know! That's 2 November elections in a row where Urbanists have done really well. We'll see what happens next year. I'm worried for Jimmy if he has to support Project Connect which is going to hit his district pretty hard with taxes. It also seems clear that Garza won't be running for re-election. I'm not sure about Cesar.
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Unless there's some really good candidate out there to challenge Pool I don't think we can expect anything great to come of that election. She can definitely be taken down in what will be a huge turnout election, but there doesn't seem to be anyone with name recognition willing to take the shot. Her NIMBY voting bloc no longer has pull city-wide, but it's strong in D7. I think the best opportunity would be a Casar-esque social justice person to mobilize the northern (much less rich and white) half of D7 along with renters, urbanists, and soccer fans. Urbanists can't do the heavy lifting by themselves as seen with Natalie Gauldin's 2016 effort.
As for Jimmy, it's hard to infer much from the 2014 rail bond election, but his district didn't stand out from the other parts of the city that voted it down. Parts of his district actually voted in favor of the 2000 plan and most of it was in the 40-50% range - and that plan didn't even touch the area at all. I would guess that the Project Connect package won't be hugely unpopular in D6 because of high turnout and suburbanites who could at least picture themselves taking a train to the airport (though they probably never will). Also Project Connect will make the Red Line, which serves D6 perhaps the best of any district, much more useful as it connects to Orange at Crestview (and perhaps Blue later on).
It also hasn't been well publicized but it seems like part of the Project Connect package will include significant Red Line improvements like double tracking, new stations, and station lengthening.
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