Quote:
Originally Posted by Burquitlaman
Anecdotally, there is an office shortage in the area. I used to work on Austin Ave and our building got bought out by a developer. It's still standing but by the end of this year everyone has to move (from my understanding). I remember at that time my employer had to go all the way to Port Moody to hunt for a decent office. Everything the area was either way too small, or way too old, or way too inaccessible, or destined for demolition. And when you think about it, what's here? Nothing. We went and looked at a bunch of offices and they were all mediocre for the above reasons. The biggest issue in Burquitlam/Austin/Lougheed is age. Everything is old. Based on this anecdotal experience I think it's justified, especially with the population growth.
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It's helpful to know there might be interest in new office space here. The question is whether there's enough potential tenants to take half a million square feet of space - or enough to make building it economic. The construction alone would be in the order of $200m for the podium, and Pinnacle will be borrowing that to fund construction, so they would almost certainly need some sort of pre-lease to proceed. They're in something of a bind, as they have to build the space, as it's the podium for the towers. (They have to sell most of those as well, and they will be expensive to build, and there are a lot of stratas to sell too.) Maybe some could become hotel space, but there are other Burnaby projects already planning a hotel podium, and there is only so much demand (and financing) for more space.
At some point Onni, Shape or Pinnacle may come back to Burnaby Council to revisit the commercial space requirements of these mega projects, unless there's a significant shift in market demand for office space. Something similar can be seen in the changes proposed to rental requirements. If developers can't make the numbers add up, Council may have to decide if they'll change the expectations for non-condo space, or be willing to have projects on hold for an unknown length of time.