Tuesday Tulips

Courtesy Business Insider
Just for giggles, the first financial bubble is anointed as the
Dutch Tulipomania in the 1600's.
So many bubbles
Oil & Gas - Most of the "frackers" have been riding along with sales that were hedged at higher prices. Those hedges are now running out or will run out over the next year. I read over the weekend that debt holders of riskier drillers were exchanging debt for higher priority convertible bonds (in the event of liquidation) for about 50 cents on the dollar. Some debt is fetching only about 20 cents on the dollar. Quite a haircut for some but at least reality is being managed.
China - is the elephant in the room. Clearly it's weaker and weakening quicker than most had believed. The question that rattles markets is can they engineer a soft landing or will it be a hard landing and what will it all mean?
Commodities - have been the biggest loser from China so far. Glencore Plc based in Zug, Switzerland looks like the poster child. In 2014, Glencore was worth more than $85 billion. According to
Bloomberg Business:
Quote:
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The descent has been so swift that many investors are now wondering where it will end. As Glencore’s share price plunged by almost a third Monday, bringing its losses since March to 76 percent.
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That's a Big Haircut.
The U.S. while not totally immune seems well insulated from most of the (potential) credit events. Construction and development is one of the big economic drivers. Because most of Denver's construction has been in or near the city's core and at a measured pace, it is less likely to be near being over-built than many places. Development should continue for the time being but bears watching.
I'm calling for three more groundbreakings by the end of the year.