Quote:
Originally Posted by Steely Dan
there's no reason to freak out about a potential mayor CMB, she can't win city wide. if emanuel is thrown off the ballot for good, chico will get the lion's share of emanuel voters.
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I agree, there is no way Carol Mosely Braun will be mayor of Chicago with Rahm Emmanuel on the ballot or not. The next mayor of Chicago will be Rahm Emmanuel or Gery Chico, its that simple. If Rahm is not on the ballot it will definatly be Chico, if Rahm stays on it could be Rahm or Chico.
As far as these doomsday predicions of CMB, I dread her becoming mayor just as much as anyone else on here but God forbid she did somehow pull it off she would be a one term mayor and the city is not going to turn into Detroit in four years, life will go on in Chicago. Its kind of like showing up at the emergency room and you are saying "oh I am going to die" and the doctors tell you that you will be fine but nevertheless its not an experience you want to go through, thats what Braun will be like as Mayor. I am not into the sky is falling rhetoric, many people said that the city was doomed in 1983 when Harold Washington became Mayor, of course CMB is not Washington by any stretch and white racism fueled alot of fears about Washington but my point is that reports of the city's eminent demise is always greatly exadurated. I do believe that Washington was the cause of some white flight in the 1980's (motivated more by racial fear than reality) and I think potentially CMB could cause the city to lose serious momentum in regaining more of its historic population but I don't think her mayorality will cause a massive exodus within four years.
This is one hell of a crazy day though, I will watch Chicago Tonight in less than an hour to hear more about this. Prior to today I assumed this case was about 95% in the bag for Emmanuel to stay on the ballot, now I seriously think its 50/50. What gets me is if he is put back on the ballot will there be enough time to put him back on by next monday, January 31st when early voting starts? That would mean the Illinois Supreme Court would have to like make a ruling THIS WEEK! Otherwise there could be a weird situation where people who do early voting will not have Rahm on the ballot but those voting on February 22nd will. Now of course any intellegent Rahm supporter would wait things out and not vote until February 22nd if they can but nevertheless it seems inevitable that this decision today will cost him some votes.