I have no doubts that the two markets the CFL are really interested in is Quebec City and Halifax (with Halifax having the inside edge given QC's current preoccupation with the NHL).
I however take umbrage with a couple of the statements in some of the recent posts above.
The Moncton Stadium is
not an embarrassment. You have to keep in mind that it is a university track & field stadium and was
not built as a dedicated football stadium. If you view it in that light, it is actually one of the more impressive facilities
of it's kind in the country. At 10,000 permanent seats and with a Mondo track surface, it is viewed quite favourably by the Canadian Track & Field Association. It has held the Canadian national track & field championships twice, the IAAF World Junior Track & Field Championships in 2010 (for which the facility was built)
as well as the FIFA U20 Women's World Cup in 2014 and the FIFA Women's World Cup in 2015. In addition, the stadium has played host to not one, not two but
three regular season CFL games. Attendance was as high as 20,725 for the first CFL game and 13,138 for one of the FIFA games, which, considering that Team Canada did not play in Moncton, compares favourably to attendances at other venues in the country.
No, the Moncton Stadium is
not an embarrassment.
It is however definitely not a football stadium, and if Moncton were ever to consider getting into the running for a CFL team, I think a new facility would have to be built.
Moncton is not incapable of doing such a thing. We are currently building a new $113M 9,000 seat downtown arena and events centre which will open in 2018. The seating capacity of this arena will compare quite favourably to ScotiaBank Centre in Halifax (10,595 seats). Given this, why would a purpose built modest CFL stadium with 25,000 seats be out of the question?
Having said all this, I do accept that Moncton will
not be getting the next CFL expansion team, and will not for some time. I think the Touchdown Atlantic games were held in Moncton just as a ploy by the CFL to goad Halifax into mounting a bid for a CFL franchise. While Halifax's civic pride was wounded for a time, and pubic outrage in the NS capital led to a minor municipal response, things seem to have settled down again. There are currently no plans in Halifax to build a CFL ready stadium.
Things to keep in mind:
1) - Moncton will surpass 150,000 people in it's CMA by early next year and Moncton should reach 200,000 by mid century if the current growth rate is maintained. How big was Regina when it got it's CFL franchise?
2) - A team in Halifax would be Nova Scotia's team. New Brunswick has been proudly and fiercely independent of NS since 1785. Halifax's dominance of the region is viewed with some ambivalence and disdain in NB. I think an NB team in Moncton could be well supported in NB (and PEI) and a natural rivalry would exist between the two Maritime franchises.
3) - There is a strong football culture in southeastern NB (and in southern NB in general). There would be a ready built fan base for any team based here.
My predictions:
team #10 will be in Halifax, but probably won't occur for at least another 8-10 years.
teams #11 & 12 will be in Quebec City and someplace in the west ( to allow for regional balance, possibly in Victoria).
If the CFL ever expands to 16 teams, I expect Moncton will be in the mix. This probably won't be until 2060-75 or so, and I will long since be dead, but I fully expect this could be a possibility.
Hence the big question - just how big does the CFL want to be? Is the answer 10 teams, 12 teams or 16 teams? The answer depends on the greed of the team owners. If the team owners don't want to split up the TV revenues pie much more than it is now, then the CFL likely will never get any larger than 12 teams.