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  #4581  
Old Posted Feb 12, 2024, 6:43 PM
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VivaLFuego VivaLFuego is offline
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Originally Posted by Halsted & Villagio View Post
Was Rahm really a good mayor? Or did he benefit from a pre-Covid world and his connections to Barack Obama. During those days practically ALL the guys - every single one of them - that were connected to the Obama administration rode the fast train to uber success in private/public life, including politics.
You say this as though access and reputation aren't part of being a good mayor - in contrast to say, taking an unnecessary vote to publicly disavow yourself and your city from the official foreign policy of the nation set by the head of your national party on whom you're counting on for help propping up your budget and planned spending.

Of course, mayor of Chicago was not a successful move for Rahm. Instead of heading back to DC as Secretary of Transportation he had to get exiled to Japan because of the political capital he expended taking on the teachers.

While of course not perfect by any means, Rahm provided some reason for optimism that Chicago could be an outlier in an otherwise bleak Rust Belt/IL/Midwest future, between strong professional corporate recruitment and taking real steps to bend the arc on the structural financial issues that will otherwise bankrupt the city - passing the major property tax ramp to increase pension contributions, closing CPS schools, etc. Other than the post-McDonald/Van Dyke spike in 2016-2017, his tenure maintained the low modern era homicide rates, which remainded low as of 2019 when he handed off the reins. He also set up the financial frameworks to more directly transfer money from downtown development fees to subsidize development elsewhere beyond what was possible with Daley's TIFs, i.e. enabling "Invest South/West" to even exist.

No doubt the Covid era would have resulted in challenges and backsliding regardless, but the lack of attention or passion from Lori or BJ on things Rahm valued has been palpable: O'Hare Modernization, the CTA, downtown livability, recruiting deep pockets to help in tangible ways -remember when he got Ken Griffin to pay to double-up the lakefront trail?, keeping the CTU at bay from its relentless quest to strangle the city, etc.

At least Lori tried a bit on the last one, but eventually caved on the things that mattered like the elected school board.
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  #4582  
Old Posted Feb 13, 2024, 11:28 PM
moorhosj1 moorhosj1 is offline
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Waiting for the local media to pick up on it, but based on CPD data crime is down pretty significantly so far this year. Before any tries to mention cold weather, we are currently in the 2nd warmest winter on record.
  • The YTD numbers have all crime down 15%.
  • Murder is down 30% (from 56 -> 39) and shootings are down 26% (228 -> 169).
  • Vehicle Theft is down 31% (3,677 -> 2,530), which is still historically high.
  • Aggravated Battery is actually up 4% (577 -> 599)
  • Burglary is down 12% (904 -> 794)
  • 5-year comparison shows we are still above 2020 levels in Robbery, Theft, and Motor Vehicle Theft. Other measures are all down.
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  #4583  
Old Posted Feb 15, 2024, 7:43 PM
Vlajos Vlajos is offline
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Originally Posted by VivaLFuego View Post
You say this as though access and reputation aren't part of being a good mayor - in contrast to say, taking an unnecessary vote to publicly disavow yourself and your city from the official foreign policy of the nation set by the head of your national party on whom you're counting on for help propping up your budget and planned spending.

Of course, mayor of Chicago was not a successful move for Rahm. Instead of heading back to DC as Secretary of Transportation he had to get exiled to Japan because of the political capital he expended taking on the teachers.

While of course not perfect by any means, Rahm provided some reason for optimism that Chicago could be an outlier in an otherwise bleak Rust Belt/IL/Midwest future, between strong professional corporate recruitment and taking real steps to bend the arc on the structural financial issues that will otherwise bankrupt the city - passing the major property tax ramp to increase pension contributions, closing CPS schools, etc. Other than the post-McDonald/Van Dyke spike in 2016-2017, his tenure maintained the low modern era homicide rates, which remainded low as of 2019 when he handed off the reins. He also set up the financial frameworks to more directly transfer money from downtown development fees to subsidize development elsewhere beyond what was possible with Daley's TIFs, i.e. enabling "Invest South/West" to even exist.

No doubt the Covid era would have resulted in challenges and backsliding regardless, but the lack of attention or passion from Lori or BJ on things Rahm valued has been palpable: O'Hare Modernization, the CTA, downtown livability, recruiting deep pockets to help in tangible ways -remember when he got Ken Griffin to pay to double-up the lakefront trail?, keeping the CTU at bay from its relentless quest to strangle the city, etc.

At least Lori tried a bit on the last one, but eventually caved on the things that mattered like the elected school board.
Fantastic post, could not agree more.
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  #4584  
Old Posted Feb 16, 2024, 3:44 PM
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Transpo Secretary has been unofficially reserved as a "minority" slot for many years, even in Republican administrations. Excluding interim appointments/acting secretaries, the last straight cis white man to hold the job was in 1993.

Rahm is Jewish, but I'm not sure that counts... granted, rules are meant to be broken and it did seem like Biden was ready to appoint Rahm before progressives screamed at him.
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  #4585  
Old Posted Feb 20, 2024, 3:03 AM
ebitdadada ebitdadada is offline
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Echoing what some others have been noticing but in graph form (Thanks to marothisu for pointing me to the data a while back). There seems to be a very positive trend in homicides that started ~July 2023 with numbers reverting to pre-pandemic levels (with maybe even some hope of it falling below that level if trends continue). February 2024 has been trending significantly below 2023 as well.

I'm no expert but my guess is homicide data is likely the most accurate dataset (i.e. less likely to be underreporting or data discrepancy issues (assuming that's even a real thing) and could be a leading indicator of overall crime (which seems to have started to fall as well).

Chicago Homicides by Month & Year: Graph


Chicago Homicides by Month & Year: Numbers


Methodology & Source here in case anyone has any other insights.
- Source: https://data.cityofchicago.org/Publi...ijzp-q8t2/data
- Filters: Primary Type = Homicide, Exclude Involuntary Manslaughter

Last edited by ebitdadada; Feb 20, 2024 at 3:28 AM.
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  #4586  
Old Posted Feb 21, 2024, 5:37 AM
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Steely Dan Steely Dan is online now
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Quote:
Mayor Brandon Johnson, his message, and the media: Time for a course correction before public loses faith


In an apparent effort to turn things around, Johnson scheduled a meeting with the Chicago Sun-Times editorial board this week that would have been his first.

But Monday’s meeting ended abruptly — after Johnson and board members had introduced themselves — when press secretary Ronnie Reese insisted the entire session be off the record. Editorial Page editor Lorraine Forte refused to accept those unprecedented terms. Johnson allowed Reese to make the argument for him and never said a word before signing off from the Zoom session.

The relationship between the mayor and the messengers looked like it had nowhere to go but up after Lori Lightfoot, who engaged in verbal combat with the City Hall press corps, threatened to go around them and made national headlines by confining her midterm interviews to reporters of color.

In contrast, the likable Johnson seemed like a candidate for Mr. Congenialty. But Johnson appears to have quickly exhausted the bank of goodwill.
full article: https://chicago.suntimes.com/brandon...ence-questions




this man........... this was not a man ready to meet the challenge..........

swing and a miss once again, chicago.

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Last edited by Steely Dan; Feb 22, 2024 at 4:32 AM.
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  #4587  
Old Posted Feb 21, 2024, 3:45 PM
twister244 twister244 is offline
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Well..... When people finally realize we need to vote for leaders based on merit and policy positions, then maybe we will elect someone competent.

Paul Vallas may have leaned conservative.... Wasn't a person of color, etc, but he was the better choice over Johnson.

But that's not how we vote nowadays.
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  #4588  
Old Posted Feb 21, 2024, 4:38 PM
skysoar skysoar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by twister244 View Post
Well..... When people finally realize we need to vote for leaders based on merit and policy positions, then maybe we will elect someone competent.

Paul Vallas may have leaned conservative.... Wasn't a person of color, etc, but he was the better choice over Johnson.

But that's not how we vote nowadays.
Believe it or not many people of color voted for Vallas. My biggest surprise were how many white voters voted for Brandon Johnson. The guy is an empty suit, with very few leadership abilities, but here we all find ourselves burdened with him for the next several years. We can only hope, but Chicago will survive, but at what cost, God only knows.
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  #4589  
Old Posted Feb 21, 2024, 4:47 PM
twister244 twister244 is offline
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Originally Posted by skysoar View Post
Believe it or not many people of color voted for Vallas. My biggest surprise were how many white voters voted for Brandon Johnson. The guy is an empty suit, with very few leadership abilities, but here we all find ourselves burdened with him for the next several years. We can only hope, but Chicago will survive, but at what cost, God only knows.
I totally believe that......

I absolutely see many people of color in the city looking at someone like Johnson and rolling their eyes collectively - Which is a good thing. It's insulated North Side young voters that live in their echo chambers that some of the voters I am referring to.
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  #4590  
Old Posted Feb 21, 2024, 6:28 PM
skysoar skysoar is offline
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Originally Posted by twister244 View Post
I totally believe that......

I absolutely see many people of color in the city looking at someone like Johnson and rolling their eyes collectively - Which is a good thing. It's insulated North Side young voters that live in their echo chambers that some of the voters I am referring to.
You are absolutely right. What many voters don't understand is that cities like New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, D.C and maybe S.F has to be governed like City-States. They have great influences over state and national issues like immigration, politics, business, education, etc. And for someone like B.J, basically a community activist, and at this point he is in over his head. As much as some people despised Rahm Emanuel and Richard Daley, they understood this dynamic role of governing Chicago.
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  #4591  
Old Posted Feb 21, 2024, 6:30 PM
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Paul Vallas or anybody flirting with the republican party like he did was never going to be mayor of Chicago no matter how close he came. Moderate Chicagoans need to bring a better candidate if they are going to try to beat the union backed candidates. It's as simple that.
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  #4592  
Old Posted Feb 21, 2024, 6:42 PM
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Btw, is venting about the mayor and the press not playing nice with each other what passes as political news these days?

Here's some real news.


Quote:
Mayor’s $1.25 Billion Affordable Housing Plan Would Mean The End Of TIF Districts


The $1.25 billion in bonds would be split evenly at $625 million for both the city’s Department of Housing and the Department of Planning and Development.

The Department of Housing would use $360-390 million for the construction and preservation of affordable rental homes, $210-240 million for the construction and preservation of homeownership and $20-30 million for the preservation of single-room occupancy structures, according to the proposal.

The Department of Planning and Development would use $400-500 million for neighborhood development grants, $82.5-115 million for small business support and $57.5-90 million for jobs and workforce training.
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  #4593  
Old Posted Feb 22, 2024, 5:45 PM
twister244 twister244 is offline
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Am I going crazy, or were there posts related to the oil company lawsuit deleted from the economics thread? Maybe they were meant to be moved here since it's more political-related?
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  #4594  
Old Posted Feb 23, 2024, 4:20 AM
LouisVanDerWright LouisVanDerWright is offline
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Originally Posted by VivaLFuego View Post
You say this as though access and reputation aren't part of being a good mayor - in contrast to say, taking an unnecessary vote to publicly disavow yourself and your city from the official foreign policy of the nation set by the head of your national party on whom you're counting on for help propping up your budget and planned spending.

Of course, mayor of Chicago was not a successful move for Rahm. Instead of heading back to DC as Secretary of Transportation he had to get exiled to Japan because of the political capital he expended taking on the teachers.

While of course not perfect by any means, Rahm provided some reason for optimism that Chicago could be an outlier in an otherwise bleak Rust Belt/IL/Midwest future, between strong professional corporate recruitment and taking real steps to bend the arc on the structural financial issues that will otherwise bankrupt the city - passing the major property tax ramp to increase pension contributions, closing CPS schools, etc. Other than the post-McDonald/Van Dyke spike in 2016-2017, his tenure maintained the low modern era homicide rates, which remainded low as of 2019 when he handed off the reins. He also set up the financial frameworks to more directly transfer money from downtown development fees to subsidize development elsewhere beyond what was possible with Daley's TIFs, i.e. enabling "Invest South/West" to even exist.

No doubt the Covid era would have resulted in challenges and backsliding regardless, but the lack of attention or passion from Lori or BJ on things Rahm valued has been palpable: O'Hare Modernization, the CTA, downtown livability, recruiting deep pockets to help in tangible ways -remember when he got Ken Griffin to pay to double-up the lakefront trail?, keeping the CTU at bay from its relentless quest to strangle the city, etc.

At least Lori tried a bit on the last one, but eventually caved on the things that mattered like the elected school board.
Exiled to Japan? You mean sent to Asia to be ambassador to one of the US' closest allies and keep tabs on our #1 advisary China? You mean sent to Asia to fill the only gap left on his resume to be able to run for president?

Rahm is in Japan because the Democratic Party needs him to have foreign affairs experience before he can run for President. It's really that simple. His tenure in Chicago was a resounding success and the subsequent jokers only make him look even better.
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  #4595  
Old Posted Feb 26, 2024, 1:43 AM
west-town-brad west-town-brad is offline
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Originally Posted by LouisVanDerWright View Post
Exiled to Japan? You mean sent to Asia to be ambassador to one of the US' closest allies and keep tabs on our #1 advisary China? You mean sent to Asia to fill the only gap left on his resume to be able to run for president?

Rahm is in Japan because the Democratic Party needs him to have foreign affairs experience before he can run for President. It's really that simple. His tenure in Chicago was a resounding success and the subsequent jokers only make him look even better.
I like Rahm. He not gonna be President.
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  #4596  
Old Posted Feb 27, 2024, 9:03 PM
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pritzker has way bigger odds of being a Dem nominee for pres than Rahm. agreed - not gonna happen
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  #4597  
Old Posted Mar 20, 2024, 12:44 AM
Kngkyle Kngkyle is offline
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Early results show the real estate transfer tax not passing - 56% no and 44% yes with 575 of 1291 precincts reporting. Bullet potentially dodged.
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  #4598  
Old Posted Mar 20, 2024, 2:42 AM
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This is nerve-wrackin watching the results trickle in.

On the cusp of killing the real estate transfer tax AND possibly also getting a states attorney who might actually give a slight shit about holding criminals accountable for their crimes!


If that holds, color me shocked, Chicagoland.

But we're still only at 80% and 83% results in, and the states attorney race is razor thin.
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  #4599  
Old Posted Mar 20, 2024, 2:48 AM
twister244 twister244 is offline
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Yeah, I'm actually really happy at seeing these results. I was half-expecting the real estate tax to actually pass......

Definitely an interesting result if it's struck down, and I will be interested to see how the vote ultimately broke down.
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  #4600  
Old Posted Mar 20, 2024, 3:07 AM
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Looks like being home Chicago should be called soon. The attorney race may be close enough that mail in ballots may need to be awaited.
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