What Is The Weather Today II (No Mercury Jockeying)

[MonctonRad]

Would have been nasty if it had come on shore.

[q12]

^
Yep, would not have been good.

Latest from NHC a few minutes ago:

At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ernesto was
located near latitude 41.8 North, longitude 58.5 West. Ernesto is
moving toward the northeast near 28 mph (44 km/h). A turn
toward the northeast and east-northeast with an increase in forward
speed is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast
track, the center of Ernesto will pass near southeastern
Newfoundland tonight and early Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Weakening is forecast, and Ernesto is expected
to become a post-tropical cyclone by early Tuesday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles
(350 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb (28.59 inches).

[Marty_Mcfly]

I would not be surprised if Ernesto ended up a lot closer to Cape Race than Environment Canada currently has forecasted. Storm is moving a lot more northeast than east-northeast that was predicted.

[hipster duck]

Last weekend's rainstorm pushed our total annual precipitation to 899.8 mm at YYZ.

That means that 2024 has had more precipitation, to date, than we had in all of 2023, 2022, 2021 and 2020.

Unless we can somehow get less than 150 mm of precipitation over the next 4.5 months (pretty much impossible), this will be the wettest year since recordkeeping began in 1939.