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Originally Posted by gebs
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Haven't given up. The last article from Crains brings up points that are extremely important that most news articles don't bring up, but should. That's one reason I don't listen to them because they talk like someone who has never had to hire for teams recently, and/or write articles as if this thing is only for a few hundred people. Hiring 50,000 people within a handful of years is insane. Ask anyone who has been in on hiring skilled workers that you can't just take anyone. I often wonder if they can even do it. For every person I've hired in the last 2 years, I've turned down probably 10 to 20 people. For these reasons, they need a metro area that already has tons of workers available, and an area that has a track record for getting people to move there from all over. For these reasons, as I've been saying for months..it will come down to the absolute largest areas with large existing workforces given their crazy hiring timeline. That will be NYC, LA, Chicago, Boston, DC, Dallas, Atlanta, Philadelphia, Toronto, and Miami. If they are serious about walkability and public transit, then it will probably eliminate Miami, Dallas, and Atlanta, and maybe even LA. My opinion is that it'll essentially come down to NYC, DC, Chicago, Boston, Philadelphia, and Toronto. Of course, Dallas, Atlanta, and LA have ok transit systems but are definitely inferior to the others which is why I think they won't be picked if Amazon is very serious about these requirements.
I find the CNBC articles hilarious because they bring up points that either don't matter or are incomplete. An example of this is when they weigh talent, but they only talk about software developers. For this reason and above, I can tell most of their analysts have never worked in large organizations recently for big companies. There are loads of people who need to be hired other than software developers. That could be anyone from standard project managers, business analysts, marketing people, pure business people who don't even need to be specifically tech oriented, operations people, executive/admin assistants, QA, UX, Visual/Graphic designers, etc. The metro areas with the best mix of this existing in their labor forces are the ones I predicted it will come down to (before or after my statement of walkability and public transit).