Quote:
Originally Posted by CoryB
Well you can definitely fill parking lots with new towers if you are able to go and poach tenants from other towers. Heck you might even get praised on this forum for doing it as all people seem to care about is "shinny new tower" and look past the longer impact of what that overall move is causing. And yes this is directly referencing the significant, long term, negative impact to downtown Winnipeg which True North Square is causing. Seems I am the loan voice is trying to raise attention to this issue.
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Yeah I'm not quite sure how True North Square creating more office space and "poaching" tenants is a bad thing? If anything, in theory it puts competitive pressure on property owners whose buildings are being vacated to upgrade their spaces and/or lower their rental rates to attract new tenants to fill the gap, which means more firms can move from B to A office space, and so on.
Alternatively, it can also force property owners to reconfigure their spaces for more efficient use such as residential if the market for office simply isn't there.
These market adjustments take time, and are not instant. Vacancy rates did not shoot up significantly when TNS opened up, and the only major office project on the horizon is Wawanesa which might cause a vacancy problem for one or two existing unsubstantial buildings.
Sure, COVID and the work-from-home movement has called the future of office space into question, but this isn't isolated to Winnipeg at all. In fact, I'd argue Winnipeg's more "traditional" office sector managed by old school boomers means work-from-home when the pandemic is over is going to be less likely relative to office markets with a lot of hot tech companies all competing for young, car and monthly parking fee-hating, mobile talent (Vancouver and Toronto).