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Originally Posted by fanofYOW
Where in my comment did I say AC is a failure as a whole? I don't give a toss about their profits. They clearly had something to say over AF's YOW-CDG and if they didn't care, they wouldn't have priced their round trips so aggressively at $380 specifically from YOW was my point. Their goal was to capture back the pax they lost and to hinder AF. I said they failed in this regard and I stand behind that statement with the introduction of AF increasing capacity (not officially announced but bookable).
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AF increasing capacity at YOW is one thing. Pretending AC "failed" in preventing that from happening is something else entirely. The former is a fact. The latter is utter nonsense, and isn't factual at all.
Looking at ticket prices for random dates and drawing conclusions based on that is total nonsense. Of course AC will try and compete against other carriers by using price. Everyone does it. Doesn't mean they are failing in YOW against that carrier if you see cheap fares on certain days.
Next month, I'm showing AF selling YOW-CDG-YOW for only $604 RT on certain days, whereas AC is double that on the same dates with a 1 stop connection in YUL. Is that a sign of AC failing to compete against AF I wonder?
AF started YOW for a reason. They knew very well the demand from that market, considering they ran bus service from YUL to Ottawa for a number of years now. Chances are the route was going to succeed. Airlines don't start routes they think will fail. Same thing for YQB. I guess by your logic, AF succeeding at YQB means AC and TS failed to push them aside there as well.
AC's main European markets from YOW are to London and Frankfurt, and they have those markets covered via YUL/YYZ at the moment. If anything, I'd argue the fact that considering AC or LH hasn't hastily launched YOW-LHR or FRA this year, means they don't feel threatened by AF in YOW at the moment.
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Also, do not forget that one successful foreign carrier attracts others.
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Tell that to Edmonton. Even Calgary couldn't sustain a 2nd or 3rd European mainline carrier (BA/LH), and this was before WS started TATL out of YYC. Your logic is flawed once again. Ottawa isn't Montreal, Toronto or Vancouver, nor does it have a significant tourism draw like Calgary. So, like Edmonton, it will struggle to attract a second foreign carrier.
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PD will be absolutely fine.
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Based on what exactly? Your hopes and dreams? They're expanding at an incredible pace, with aircraft that have higher unit costs than their competition, in an overall Canadian market that has added a ton of capacity lately. "Absolutely fine" isn't what I would use to describe them at the moment ! Sure, the routes they are launching from YOW make sense, since Ottawa is underserved, but they are also launching flights in crowded markets like YYZ, YUL, YYC and YVR, and that's where their higher unit cost will bite them.