Quote:
Originally Posted by Randomguy34
I'm not that surprised seeing Bridgeport, Gage Park, and West Eldson having one of the largest gains in density, since they are already/becoming immigrant hubs of the city. What I'm surprised to see is that Woodlawn, Washington Park, and Oakland on the list, all Mid-South Side neighborhoods. I guess that their population was so bottomed out to begin with that any increase on people is going to result in a larger percentage density gain. However, it should still be surprising because of the fact that they are now increasing on population. This should be expected for Woodlawn given all the investments being put into the neighborhood over the next couple of years, but I want to see how Washington Park and Oakland will continue growing
|
It really depends on what you're comparing to. For example, if you compare to 2010 ACS, then it says Woodlawn grew by over 2800 people. If you compare it to the Decennial it says it grew by just under 500 people. There are some that you don't even know what to make of. Logan Square for example versus the ACS, it lost just over 900 people, but versus the decennial census it gained just over 950 people.
Of course these are estimates, and should be taken with a slight grain of salt I think. If you compare the 2010 ACS with 2010 decennial census, some tracts in the city were estimated spot on as far as population count goes. I think one tract in Jefferson Park was estimted within 2 or 5 people for a tract of something like 5000 or 6000 people which is quite amazing. However, some of them specifically downtown were really far off. There's 3 tracts that make up the Loop for example which were under estimated by 6090 people in the 2010 ACS versus the official census. Nothing in Near North that bad except one tract which was under estimated by about 1100 people.
The issue though in the end is that the Census doesn't adjust anything for the ACS. If the decennial census states that some tract had 2000 people, but the ACS for 2010 said 3000, then the next ACS (2011) wouldn't be adjusted for what they found out to be the actual count. They just go on assuming that it always had 3000 people. Pretty much every news agency in the entire country gets this wrong when they say "X city grew by ____ people between 2010 and 2015" when they compare it to the decennial census. If you ask the Census about that, they'd say to be very careful. Near North Side was under estimated by 4000 people in 2010. Since then, the US Census estimates a population of just over 85,000 people. It is very possible that the real population of Near North Side is closer to 90,000 and not 85,000.