Quote:
Originally Posted by JoninATX
The connection between the Austin area and Temple/ Killeen area is slowly but surely infilling. The biggest contenders would be Jarrell, and Salado. Right now both towns are growing modestly, Jarrell on the verge of booming with that of a new 200 housing subdivision. Jarrell also passed it's $54 million Bond creating new schools as well as expanding existing ones. So there's no slow down. Drummer if I calculate up the entire I-35 central Texas region including San Antonio I would get an annual estimate of around 120,000 new residence per year between Waco- San Antonio.
That's an insane amount of new comers. That right there is equivalent of the entire DFW growth rate per year!
|
That growth is mostly distributed within a handful of counties and is pretty uneven elsewhere:
In the Waco area, which will remain far flung for a long time yet, McClennan has decent, if unspectacular, growth, whereas Falls has 17 fewer people than it did in 1970. In the Centroplex, Bell has almost tripled since 1970 and gained 30k since 2010 to 340k, while Coryell and Lampases have mostly stayed the same over the last two decades after having shown some shortlived growth from 1970 thru the mid-90s.
For Greater Austin, Travis, Williamson, and Hays have shown amazing growth since 1970. While Williamson and Hays have grown exponentially, even Travis has tripled since then. Bastrop and Caldwell, however, have had steady, but slower growth (if still good).
San Antonio is a much more mixed bag, with Bexar doing well given its geographic expanse being able to absorb suburban growth, with Guadalupe and Comal being the rockstar suburban ring. The others (Medina, Atascosa, Wilson, Kendall, and Bandera) are all much larger than they were in 1970, but they aren't growing anywhere near as fast as those others currently.
So, in other words, the story of Central Texas growth is almost entirely due to the core belt of 6 or 7 counties: Williamson, Travis, Hays, Comal, Guadalupe, and Bexar and maybe, at the north end, Bell. The other counties are just along for the ride, except Waco, which is still slow going because it is on the periphery of both us and Dallas.
For instance, in the counties that make up the MSAs from Waco to San Antonio versus those major counties:
2010-2011: +127,262 to 4,644,151 / +117,629 to 3,986,714
2011-2012: +104,575 to 4,748,726 / +100,677 to 4,087,391
2012-2013: +97,527 to 4,846,253 / +91,024 to 4,178,415
2013-2014: +111,482 to 4,957,735 / +104,161 to 4,282,576
2014-2015: +115,221 to 5,072,956 / +105,446 to 4,388,022
2015-2016: +114,122 to 5,187,078 / +103,633 to 4,491,655
Notice that leaves a good chunk (647,804 in 2010 and 695,423 as of 2016) of the MSA population living in the rest of those counties that aren't showing nearly as robust growth over the last 7 years. This segment of the population are relatively isolated from economic opportunity and activity.
Prev
Linear Mode
