Quote:
Originally Posted by pacarlson
For me, the biggest surprises regarding the 2020 Census city populations are:
1. The phenomenal increase in NYC's population.
2. The 6.5% turn-around gain by Buffalo.
3. The unprecedented 31.6% population shrinkage experienced by East St. Louis; the largest % drop in its history.
4. St. Paul's 9.3% growth putting its 2020 population less than 2,000 people away from its all-time peak population.
5. Kansas City, MO hitting an all-time peak population.
Disappointing is the persistent population decline of the big, old powerhouse cities of Detroit, Baltimore, Milwaukee, Cleveland, Pittsburgh (although slower decline), and St. Louis.
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St Paul will continue to grow. They are currently building an entire new dense-ish, urban neighborhood on a 125 acre site that used to be a Ford factory. There should be several thousand new housing units there by 2030
The Central Corridor light rail line has also been a catalyst for growth in St Paul, and there are still a ton of quality redevelopment sites along the line. I would expect urbanization along University Ave to continue for at least another decade. There is also a streetcar line from Downtown St Paul to the airport in the works that is penciled in for the second half of this decade. That would lead to growth along that corridor as well.
I would be shocked if St Paul doesn't blow past its previous peak population within a few years.