Quote:
Originally Posted by Scott Wood
Yet unchecked congestion won't keep them away? It's of course a concern, and there's a limit to how much you can pile on charges relative to the alternatives and incentives you provide, especially with the general cost of driving (to the driver) remaining so low, no land-use disincentives to job sprawl, etc.
However, rail bias isn't infinite. Downtown is congested because a lot of people want/need to get there despite it already being less convenient/cheap for drivers, and if transit represents significant time or money savings, you'll see more people using it, whatever the mode.
Rail is great, and we should do it for the denser corridors subject to available funds (and competence) to do it right. But providing time/cost advantages for buses is still important, since rail will not cover as much territory as buses can, and thus rail will not be an option for a lot of people.
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I'm arguing that when the competition is suburban office parks with free parking on freeway frontage roads, you'd better be really careful how much more expensive you make downtown without really improving commuting at all.
And, yes, workers with a choice - especially in an area where, again, the competition is the suburban office park, stay away from buses in droves. Most of the ridership of the (pretty darn good) express buses here is university and state workers, NOT downtown workers - there's a reason for that, and it's not going to go away just because we'd really like it to.
So providing a cost advantage to buses isn't going to fly. Again, non-captive employers and employees here. You have no idea how hard it is to have a conversation here with a private sector employer about locating downtown (I've tried many times); it'd be even harder if you have to say "oh, yeah, and boss? you're going to have to pay a congestion charge", as much as I'd love to live in that world).
Finally, providing non-trivial time advantages to buses is almost as expensive as just building rail. You either end up with the HOV solution (meaning the buses' time savings don't benefit people in the core at all - so medium cost with fairly little benefit) or the bus lane solution (just about as expensive as light rail if you actually do it halfway well).