Quote:
Originally Posted by Truenorth00
I was skeptical until several posters at Urban Toronto went mile by mile along the proposed to look at the kind of turning radii needed and what kind of straightening is required to achieve the proposed speeds. Long story short, it's not as unbelievable as you'd think. Namely because there's a large stretch without any stops between Peterborough and Smiths Falls.
If amateur math can get into the ballpark, I would pros can do better. Do I expect the times will be exactly as pledged? No. But if they are anywhere close, the impact will be substantial.
On the meta topic, what's the point of having circular discussions on how more investment is needed, if we're simply going to decide that nothing is believable at all? That too about the largest intercity passenger rail investment ever. If this isn't believable, we can also write off analysis on any other project being advocated for here. It'll all be the same folks doing the same analysis (in this case outside engineers hired by VIA and the CIB).
|
I saw those there too. First thoughts were if they don't fix the curve, they will not get the speeds needed to gain the time to be competitive. We are not getting tilting trains, so a straighter track is needed. The fact that this is not explicitly stated in the proposals I have seen leads me to doubt the speed gain. Please show me that Via has proposed straightening the ROW and then I can agree.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Truenorth00
Platform size at Union was driven by the number of tracks that VIA and GO said they needed to fit in the Corridor. This is why I hope they can extend through to Pearson and build a larger station there.
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by acottawa
I'm pretty sure platform size at Union was dictated by the needs of the 1920s (which is why you have those tiny platforms for loading the mail and baggage).
|
Maybe it is time for a Grand Central fix. Tunnel under the tracks for Via's Corridor service. Make the tunnel high enough for bilevel cars so that in the event of needing more platforms, GO can use it, or if Via ever decides to go with bilevel cars, they will fit.
Quote:
Originally Posted by acottawa
I may be wrong, but I am pretty sure those guys were assuming a tilting train, which I don't believe is a feature the Siemens trains they bought has.
I think the difference is most transportation projects (particularly 5 years after their initial announcement) come with details at a pretty granular level that the public can see. You usually know the exact or tentative route (HS2, for example https://www.gov.uk/check-hs2-route), there is often a feasibility study or business with a detailed breakdown of cost estimates.
We still don't know how trains will get from Union Station (if Union Station is the planned terminal) to Agincourt with reasonable average speeds. We don't know how trains will cross Peterborough with any sort of speed (a situation somewhat analogous to GO's Guelph problem, where proposed solutions are quite expensive). Peterborough to Smiths Falls will be some combination of existing track, repurposed snowmobile track and greenfield route, which are the kinds of projects that often get expensive (particularly given the geography of Eastern Ontario). We don't know how Via will increase average speeds on the track it owns from Smith Falls to Coteau (it takes almost an hour to get from Smith Falls to Ottawa, almost 1/3 of the total estimate time to Toronto and in very few sections do they go top speed of the existing trains). We also don't know how they plan to get from Coteau to the start of the QCRY in Northern Montreal with a reasonable average speed.
None of these problems are insurmountable from an engineering perspective, but if you have to to start tunneling or building grade separations, the 4.4 billion estimate budget will go pretty quickly. As a point of comparison, even a fairly straightforward grade separation at Davenport is costing metrolinx about 4% of Via's total estimate for the entire project.
|
And this makes me wonder how successful at speeding the trains up it will be. I agree that it will have a much higher frequency of trains between Toronto and Montreal. I am just hesitant to believe it really will be much faster than the current route.
Quote:
Originally Posted by milomilo
I don't expect the investment any time soon, but that doesn't mean VIA should waste any effort on providing service that is garbage. What do I define as garbage? Same as I always have - service that is slower, less reliable, less frequent and more expensive than a bus would be for equivalent investment. Until you spend decent money, in the billions, on rail service then there is no point investing at all.
The service you have described building between Calgary - Edmonton wouldn't even meet your criteria for not being garbage. The max speed would be slower than a car, and the average further still. The lack of frequency makes it even worse, and the lack of a good station location in Edmonton further still.
|
Initially, it would be slower than all modes, but it would be cheaper than flying. Mind you, maybe with enough investment it could compete with driving. Realistically, if it can have an average speed over the whole line of 60mph (which on that area looks possible), then it can.
You still have not told me what you would expect. I have stated actual speeds. Not compering one to the other. So, here are the actual numbers I would like you to fill in. Please list your Via expectations as well as the competition.
How fast?
How often?
What price?
Quote:
Originally Posted by milomilo
There is no reason an HFR type deal in Alberta would cost much different per km to the one in Ontario and Quebec.
And we don't care about people vacationing to Edmonton, no one is doing that. We care about business people. Business use is what makes the money and justifies the investment, so if businesses workers won't take the train, the investment is poor and should not be built.
|
How much would the 300km line cost?