Quote:
Originally Posted by freerover
It's important to remember that these building is only 1/4 of a block. Garages in buildings this slender are extremely inefficient due to the limited flat open space for actual cars.
There might be a finite amount of money that they are have to spend. You would be asking for more money from an investor and telling him it'll take longer to recoup it. You are also increasing the amount of time it'll take to recoup your investment especially since they are building 1 floor of garage for every 1.3 floors of office. It's not only the 1 time extra in construction costs but also the increased costs of utilities, and building maintenance from more floors.
Adding more levels for offices also adds more levels for garages. At some point, you reach a reasonable (and likely legal) limit of how many levels of garage you can build so you can't keep building office levels because they don't have the parking spaces to support them.
[Not trying to be jerkish. Really asking] If it's so simple and makes so much sense then why is it happening like this?
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On the parking, that's really part of my point is that I don't understand this ratio. I think you should be able to add more office space without adding a proportionate amount of parking. Now as we've belabored over and over, Austin doesn't have the best public transportation infrastructure (what we really need is light rail) but it still seems like way too much parking.
And if it had to increase variably, then 15-20 story podiums become a logistical and inefficient nightmare on a lot with this small of a footprint.
My original statement did have a level of simplification, which you actually touched on when you talked about a funding limit. While you could increase the debt, it's entirely possible that the developer doesn't have the going-in equity required to lever up the project. Say they got a 65-percent LTV loan for this project, that's still about $60 million needed from equity partners to fund the construction.
So it's possible that's where funding is dried up, but these projects are often joint ventures so with the underlying data backing the Austin market they should in theory be able to source more capital.
Now, maybe the single-year snapshot is attractive but investors and even lenders are weary of Austin's long-term stability. The going-in rate might look good, but maybe they don't buy the year-by-year projections.
But this isn't spec office, when you're talking about securing 12-year leases before an excavator even moves, then there's a little more certainty there.
That's probably their big sell when getting the requisite capital, so I do wonder what puts a sort of cap on these projects. We've seen other cities with lower PSF for Class A office space and more supply deliver much more aggregate square footage and usually it's packaged in buildings in the 45-65 story range. So Chicago, NYC, and San Francisco have arguably less robust markets but are somehow getting it done.
My one answer here would be that investors have not fully bought into the Austin market, but I'm not really sure why that is.