Quote:
Originally Posted by Halsted & Villagio
Lots can change over time. I don’t think it is a foregone conclusion that Houston will ever pass Chicago in population. As Marothisu pointed out, all Chicago has to do is stabilize and improve a few areas of the city, and our growth would be somewhat right in line with some of the bigger growth cities. Of course, a changing of the media narrative wouldn’t hurt either.
Many thought Houston would pass Chicago with this census. How did that turn out?? Again, I would not be so fast to predict the future. Is it likely within the next 20/40 years… probably so. But then again, stranger things have happened.
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The only people who thought that Houston was actually passing Chicago this Census were people who either:
1) Are bad at math.
2) Didn't actually bother to look at the trends (even those that said Chicago was losing population)
3) People so motivated to believe a narrative that they will believe anything.
The Census actually estimated Houston 's population pretty accurately. They were off by something like only 11,000 people. You can find posts in here from me or some other forum showing people even a few years ago how Houston isn't surpassing Chicago anytime until the mid 2030s basically and at this rate probably more like 2040. And by then who knows what will happen. So much can happen in the next 10 years that I'm not going to even try and predict it. Different cities but let's just think about NYC in the 1970s. BIg decline from 1970 to 1980. I'm sure many people proclaimed it so dead. Nope - 20 years later in 2000 it had nearly 1 million more people than 1980. Now 20 years later it has 800,000 more than 2000. The point is - this is a long time and anything can happen. Don't count out any city or believe a city will continue at its current clip of population trend when you are talking about 20 years from now.
Also this is pretty spot on, for the most part, and entertaining
https://www.chicagotribune.com/colum...coa-story.html
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