Quote:
Originally Posted by SIGSEGV
Those are MSA values?
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City proper values. MSA values for almost all of these would be much lower. For example, the 2016 rate for Chicago city according to the FBI was 28.07 per 100K. For the entire MSA it was 10.2 per 100K. The rate outside of the city in 2016 was 2.97 per 100K and that's including Gary, IN with a rate of over 60 per 100K. If you exclude Gary too then it was 2.32 per 100K.
In fact, in 2016 at the height of everything before the pandemic, those 2 major areas in the city accounted for 64% of the total city homicides - right now it's 75%. I'd have to compare against through 5/11/2016 and 5/11/2021 but I'd bet things are more concentrated this year vs in 2016. I had done data analysis on this about 1.5 months ago and 2016 vs. 2021 concentration was essentially the same, with 2021 being a little more concentrated by community area. In any case, if you omitted those areas then the entire metro area would have a homicide rate (counting still much of the city) of 4.75 per 100K. Just to put that into perspective in 2016, that's lower than the entire Los Angeles metro area (suburbs + city).
This is how crazy concentrated these things are.
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