Quote:
Originally Posted by Marvland
The Berkadia multifamily pipeline for SLC Q3 shows 24,000 units. Note it includes Logan to south Utah County. It includes leased-up, under construction, planned and prospective projects. These pipeline numbers have been insane and continue to be insane. Gobbling up infill, chomp chomp. Handy little map on it too:
Berkadia Salt Lake City New Construction & Proposed Multifamily Projects
|
I agree that the numbers are huge. There are a few things I noticed though in some of their other reports.
The
2017 annual report has a forecast for the 2018 year. In the 2018 forecast it states:
Quote:
|
The heightened apartment demand last year is expected to trend downward toward the historical norm as operators record net absorption of 2,045 units this year.
|
While this is still a good amount of absorption, I loved seeing the
Q3 - 2018 Update and the numbers it provided.
The Year to Date (through September 2018) net absorption for apartments is 2,394. This is already 14.5% higher than the forecast for the entire year. With projects still being completed for occupancy in Q4, it could be possible to see a 20% increase in absorption over the forecast. Additionally, through Q3 2018, there have only been 1,977 units added within the market area.
Occupancy rates are still over 95% though dropping slowly, 0.2% in 1 year.
Of the planned projects, 20 of the 45 listed are located within Salt Lake City and 14 of those are listed as Downtown (approx. 2,200 units). For the prospective projects 11 of the 32 listed are within Salt Lake City and 6 are listed as Downtown (approx. 1,100 units).
If all the projects listed are built as listed, we could see an estimated 7,500 residents added to downtown in the next few years without any other projects being added. While their definition of Downtown is slightly larger than most of ours (including Trolley Square), this is still a large number in such a short period of time and would spur additional projects.
One note, the site and numbers do not include the 6th & Main project which would add and additional project and 175 units to the counts for Downtown.